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Since we are essentially 2 games back, I'm hoping it comes down to the last week.   I can't envision a scenario where we have it locked up

 

If Det loses two more, lets say @ ARI and @ NEP, they would be 11-4 coming into that game.  
They should be getting healthy soon so expecting more than that is unlikely.  That means we can only afford 1 loss to be 11-4 as well. 

 

Now, if we come in at 10-5 and them at 11-4 and then won, the tie breaker would probably go the 3rd level as we would split head to head and probably each have 1 division loss.  The 3rd tie breaker is common games.  Right now we are tied as they lost to CAR but beat NOLA.   If we both lose to NEP, it would go to conference record, where they have the edge as one of there losses is to BUF.

Long story short, I feel like we can only afford one more loss, and it can't be a division loss.  

Last edited by BrainDed

I don't see much difference between the two schedules.  We play PHI, they play ARZ.  Draw.  I've said before that that last game could be for the div and maybe even for a playoff birth.  Everyone being smug about them collapsing again should realize they would have to collapse against CHI twice, TB and MIN.  I don't see that happening.

Chicago will give DET a game, if it's in CHI or DET, who knows, but both of those games aren't just gimmes.  

 

I think we beat the Pats at home, on the road, might be different.  AZ is tough, and have to be in the mix for the WC.  So, right now, you have DAL/PHI, SF/AZ/SEA, DET/GB all in the mix for the WC.  No NFC South team should be in the mix.  I think the NFC West will go down to the wire.  AZ has beaten the Niners, has one more left with them, but has yet to play SEA or STL.  

I think the schedules are pretty close to a wash. Don't see Detroit collapsing like in the past. The new leadership will do a better job of holding things together -- provided Suh or Stafford don't go off the deep end. On the other hand, I see our D in big trouble against both Philly and NE. That could leave us on the outside looking in for the division, and in trouble for a wild card. And face it, even if we do get in, who are we going to stop? We would need our D especially to play way above their heads to win some games. 

"And face it, even if we do get in, who are we going to stop?"

 

I hear ya and I agree.  What gives me hope is that the NFC seems weak compared to last year.   Dallas has Romo, so even if they are that good, the chances that he chokes are always high.   Sea and San Fran seem down this year and Foles isn't half the player he was last year. 

 

It's not like last year when you knew the NFCC was going to be SEA and San Fran. 

Looks like Nick Fairley will be out for Detroit for a while if not the whole season. I don't wish injury on anyone, but that seems like karma doing it's thing with that guy...all the times he's purposely tried to injure other players. 

 

  • GB doesn't often follow a loss with a loss when Aaron Rodgers is at QB and Chicago is a mess so I think that looks like a win. WIN
  • GB will have the same trouble with Jeremy Maclin that they had with Brandon Cooks BUT Nick Foles has been an INT machine this year and it's at home so I think GB has a good chance in that one. WIN
  • Minnesota is Minnesota, Adrian Peterson was the only Packer killer on that team. WIN
  • New England is a tough team with Gronk in there, that will be a shootout. At home favors GB somewhat, but who knows what team will show up for either team. LOSS
  • Atlanta will have an interim coach by then, they're a mess. WIN
  • Against Buffalo in Buffalo will be a tough game. They are a surprising team, could be a toss up for me.LOSS
  • Tampa is a mess, they're competing for the 1st overall pick. WIN
  • This game depends on where Detroit is at. If they're fighting for the division or a wildcard spot then this will be tough. It's hard to bet on Detroit winning in GB though. WIN

11-5 seems realistic to me. 12-4 is the best case scenario, 9-7 is the worst case scenario. As for Detroit:

 

  • Depends on which Miami team shows up. Cameron Wake could cause a major disruption with that offense, Detroit has been pulling out tough games though. WIN
  • Arizona is red hot right now, can't see them losing at home. LOSS
  • Can't see Detroit being able to handle Tom Brady at home. LOSS
  • At home I give the edge to Detroit, but without Nick Fairley I think Cutler has more time. WIN
  • Tampa is a mess. WIN
  • Same for Minny. WIN
  • I give the edge to Chicago, but this is a hard team to read. LOSS
  • They struggle in GB, can't see them stealing the division in GB. LOSS

Detroit finishes 10-6, and gets a wildcard. 

None of those NFC teams scare me.   SF can't stop the pass.   Seattle can't score.   Detroit has been as lucky as they have been good.  Philly has won a bunch of close games and they don't play D.  Arizona is the 2013 Carolina Panthers and they aren't going anywhere.   New Orleans can't beat anyone on the road.

It's all about matchups and who is hot at the time.   I would not like having to travel to Seattle or New Orleans but as bad as GB has looked it's anyone's NFC come January.

if we were to get the Eagles, Panthers,  Cowboys or Cardinals in the playoffs that would be ideal.

Or the Saints/Lions at Lambeau

 

The other potential matchups make me cringe

 

If the Hawks and Niners miss the playoffs, that would be awesome. theyre just a bad matchup no matter the record. Eagles, Saints or Lions on the road are too much for Capers 

to handle. Demarco Murray isnt someone I really want to see either

Last edited by WolfPack

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