With 55 days to go in the season 

Since starting the season 6-3 they are 42-5 since practically winning at a 90% clip.  

Things will get more challenging the next dozen games or so having road games at Toronto, at Miami, at LAL, at Denver and home games against Miami and Boston.  The games at Toronto and  at Miami and at Denver are especially difficult given second night of back to back.   They haven’t played a decent team on the road in a back to back so we shall see but that’s usually a recipe for an L. 

Then there’s the 5 game stretch in early April with games at Dallas, two against Toronto, at Boston and at Philly.  That’s brutal. 


By my guess I see them going 19-7 or 18-8 down the stretch.   To get to 70 they’d have to go 22-4 and I don’t see that happening.  

The good news is Toronto has a tough stretch coming up as well with a west coast road trip and are playing 14 of their final 25 on the road.   

DEEZ NUTS!

Last edited by Tschmack
Original Post

They have the following games left that should be highly likely to be wins (assuming decent health and they are not resting guys down the stretch). I'm not saying they are likely to lose some of these other games, but these should be double digit point spreads. 

@Wizards, @Hornets, Pacers, Warriors, @Wizards, Wizards, Pistons, Cavs, @Nets, Nets, Hawks. That's 11 games. Let's estimate 10-1 on those. That gets them to 58-9. 

As Tschmack says, they have a couple of very tough stretches, but they are 22-3 at home and the tougher home games are against the Thunder, Celtics, Heat, Grizzlies, Rockets, and Raptors. Let's go with a conservative 4-2 against that stretch (although they will favored in all 6 games). Now you are at 62-11.

The other 9 games are all tough road games. Three of them are the second night of just brutal back to backs. Let's say 3-6 in those games. That gets them to 65-17. That means the Raptors would have to go 23-2 in their 25 games to tie them. 

1. @Raptors tomorrow on the second night of a back to back.

2. @Heat on March 2nd on the second night of a back to back

3. @Lakers on March 6th.

4. @Suns on March 8th

5. @Nuggets - second night of back to back and 3rd road game in 4 days.

6. @Mavs

7. @Raptors

8. @Celtics

9. @Sixers

24 games left.....They're 50-8 right now. 

Bucks could go 12-12 & at worst be the 3 seed & only if Toronto & Boston lose only 3 & 2 more respectively.

Think about that.....plus Toronto plays Boston once more & the Bucks twice. Not to mention the Sixers & Heat.

The Bucks virtually (not mathematically) have the #1 seed locked up before March.

I'm actually worried because the Bucks won't have anything to play for....for like 6 weeks. That's not good. 

The Bucks beating Toronto on the road was a huge win as the Raptors are chasing them for the 1 seed.  They still have to play 2 more times but assuming they split the Bucks win the season series.  I think they do the same with Boston (split). 

In reality, I think their lead is safe as I see them winning most of their home games and if you assume they lose the tough road games remaining that’s 7 games.  Heck, throw in 2-3 more losses for good measure so they go 14-10 in their last 24. That puts them at 64-18.  

Toronto would have to go 23-1 their last 24 to steal the 1 seed.   Boston would have to go 24-0 just to tie the Bucks.  Neither of those two things will happen.   However, there are only 6 games separating the 2 seed from the 5 seed so I would expect some jockeying to occur. 

Boris posted:

24 games left.....They're 50-8 right now. 

Bucks could go 12-12 & at worst be the 3 seed & only if Toronto & Boston lose only 3 & 2 more respectively.

Think about that.....plus Toronto plays Boston once more & the Bucks twice. Not to mention the Sixers & Heat.

The Bucks virtually (not mathematically) have the #1 seed locked up before March.

I'm actually worried because the Bucks won't have anything to play for....for like 6 weeks. That's not good. 

The Lakers are 44-12, the Bucks are 50-8. That's only 4.5 games and the team with the better record would have home court advantage if they were to meet in the NBA FInals. They'll likely have something to play for until the end. 

The nice thing for the Bucks is that while they have a tough 20 games, they end with Nets in Milwaukee, @Cavs, Hawks in Milwaukee, @Nets. That's about as easy a 4 game stretch as you can get. 

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