NumberThree posted:I've said it a dozen times that it is too early to count this team out in the NFC this year.If Rodgers is able to come back in Week 15 the Packers only need to squeak out 2-3 wins with Hundley.
Look at the schedule.
Realistically they have to be at least 7-6 if Rodgers returned in Week 15 (which I would say is overly optimistic) if they then win out. The Panthers look terrible right now, but that is still a team with a lot of talent (and the type of mobile QB that gives them fits) and even with Rodgers that game is no easy win - even at home, so a loss there would put them at 7-7. That means they may need to go 4-2 in the next 6 games to go in to the least 3 weeks at 8-5 (to account for an 8-6 record after a loss to the Panthers).
The Packers will be heavily favored in one game: at Browns
They will be moderate favorites in two games: vs. Ravens, vs. Bucs
They will be within a FG or so in terms of the betting line in 2 games: vs. Lions, at Bears
They will be at least a 10 point underdog at Pittsburgh
If you assume a win against the Browns and a loss against Pittsburgh (I would say the chances of a loss vs. Cleveland and a win vs. Pittsburgh are equally unlikely), then they have to go 3-1 with 3 home games vs. Lions, Ravens, and Bucs and 1 road game against the Bears. The Ravens, Bucs, and Bears shouldn't put up huge point totals which gives us a good chance, while the Lions may hang a big number on us and we'll have to outscore them.