idiots out walking around is at Madison tomorrow for a 330 CST kickoff.

ESPN and their crappy preview gives UW a 74% chance of winning this game.  If you look at the team stats side by side they are pretty darn similar (UW scores more) especially on defense.  So which UW team shows up?  a pissed off and angry bunch ready for a big rival or the one that will pee down their legs?

To me the key in this one for UW is to get something resembling a passing game going (as is every week) and to stop Iowa's passing game.  I kind of superstitious so I will predict a Iowa win 17-10

 

Original Post

I know I’m stating the obvious but these are two very similar teams that like to run the ball and play stingy defense. 

I think Iowa has the better trench players but Wisconsin is better in all other areas and they at playing at home.  On a neutral field this is probably a toss up game but I give a slight edge to the Badgers. 

What stands out in this series is turnovers play a big role in the outcome of these games.   Last year it was an Iowa INT late that allowed the Badgers to close it out.  As long as they take care of the football I see something like a 24-17 type game.   Perhaps even more low scoring 20-10 or 20-13 Badgers. 

Tschmack posted:

If the Badgers were going to play Mertz they would have done it by now 

Chryst has hitched his wagon this year to Coan for better or worse

It would be idiotic to play Mertz any more than 2 more games this year. He's already played 2 and can play 2 more without losing his redshirt. Let him play the final game and the bowl. 

Maynard posted:

Well that was disappointing.

The Badgers are what they are. A better than average, but not great, football team. There are a lot of good things about this team. They may even win today, but I think most of us knew deep down that this was never a top 10 team. MSU is terrible this year and the Michigan game was the fluke. 

MichiganPacker2 posted:
Maynard posted:

Well that was disappointing.

The Badgers are what they are. A better than average, but not great, football team. There are a lot of good things about this team. They may even win today, but I think most of us knew deep down that this was never a top 10 team. MSU is terrible this year and the Michigan game was the fluke. 

I think there is some major talent on this Badger team; however there are two drawbacks. I think losing Nelson hurt this defense as he's a good run stopper and a leader in the secondary. On offense they have the weapons including some very good receivers but the lack of balance and lack of creativity has hurt them. Of course their kicking game is atrocious as well which has really hurt them. 

Taylor is an elite back.  The trio of WRs are well above average and Ferguson is underrated at TE.   The problem is the OL is mediocre and the QB is pretty ordinary.  

That’s good enough to beat average to good teams but against really good programs (as we saw with Ohio State) they have no shot.  

This is an 8 or 9 win team. Maybe good enough to get past a team like Iowa or even Minnesota but will get curb stomped by the decent teams. 

Tschmack posted:

Taylor is an elite back.  The trio of WRs are well above average and Ferguson is underrated at TE.   The problem is the OL is mediocre and the QB is pretty ordinary.  

That’s good enough to beat average to good teams but against really good programs (as we saw with Ohio State) they have no shot.  

This is an 8 or 9 win team. Maybe good enough to get past a team like Iowa or even Minnesota but will get curb stomped by the decent teams. 

I think the OL is better than mediocre. It's just that if your QB can't threaten a defense downfield it makes their job that much more difficult. Logan Brown (the top rated recruit in the history of the program will play OL next year after his redshirt) so they should be even better next year. 

The Illinois loss was one of the worst in the history of the program (or at least in the Alvarez and after era) in terms of the difference in talent between the two teams. But even with that, if the Gophers lose at Iowa next week and the Badgers win out they are in the Big 10 Championship game. Like you said, that will allow them to be curb stomped by OSU again. 

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