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Frankie Baggadonuts posted:
Packiderm posted:

There's a Joe Bag O' Doughnuts  on RC who's a total Pole Smoker. Coincidence? I think not. 

My name is a tribute to packer great Frank Winters, who John Madden would call Frankie Baggadonuts.

You're not much of a Packer fan if you didn't know that.

Disappointing!

Hateful!

I've been a Packet fan long before Frankie Bag O'Winters and his drinking buddy Brent Favor were a twinkle in their fathers eyes.

Last edited by Packiderm

The best PREDICTIVE NFL stats in the bizness says this about your Green Bay Packers...pretty damn good report card mid season...run defense is fixable when it counts cuz it's just emotion and attitude if you want it.

Courtesy of Cold Hard Football Facts:

Are the Packers for real? Maybe. A lot can change from week-to-week, and a simple loss by the 49ers would likely vault Green Bay to the top of NFC consideration. They're pretty close to that already: third in the Intelligence Indexsixth in Passer Rating Differential (right in the range of serious super Bowl contender) and third in Real QBR Differential. Those all seem like the kind of numbers that foretell of a potential Super Bowl run if things keep breaking right. That's not to say there isn't room for and a need for improvement. The Packers rank 13th in both of the Hog Indexes (that's actually better than the Patriots in the Offensive Hog Index but far down the list on the defensive side). More worryingly, they're 21st in Defensive Rusher Rating and have truly struggled to stop the run against opponents with a competent rushing attack. That will probably have to improve for Green Bay to keep playing into February, but there's time for that to come, starting this week with a primetime matchup with the Chiefs.  Even without Pat Mahomes, that's could prove a telling game

BrainDed posted:
TouchdownWhitewaterJesus posted:
R MaN posted:

Packers are 4.5 favorites 

Betting lines are used to do one thing, bring in bets.

Sure..  and the ultimate goal that bringing the bets works toward is making money for the Casino.    Therefore it behooves the casino to place a number that will draw equal action on both sides (They win regardless of outcome because they collect the juice or vig, typically 10%).     In other words, an accurate number. 

That is not really true either...the casino's in effect shade it toward placing their own bets...because they have the best numbers in the business...so they do not try to balance so much as they shade it toward house advantage long term.

They leave way way too much money on the table only taking a 50/50 vig...and this is why some lines don't make sense to Joe Six pack

Pakrz posted:
fightphoe93 posted:

For whatever reason, Packers' teams have not fared particularly well in Kansas City over the years.  That said, this a completely different couple of teams from ones that have lost in KC in the past.  The Chiefs gave the 2011 Packers their only regular season loss.  I believe the 2007 team is the only one that I can remember that actually won a game in KC. 

I am going into this game thinking it's going to be high scoring no matter who the QB is.  I remember even in 2017 when Alex Smith was a QB, he was lighting up the scoreboard for much of that season and was an MVP candidate.  He's obviously better than Matt Moore, but it shows that Mahomes isn't the only reason the Chiefs have had a great offense the past few years. 

2011, 2007, etc. have absolutely nothing to do with a game being played in 2019.  

Surprisingly...there are many of these types of long term trends in the NFL...and for whatever reason...that we do not understand...some teams just can't do it in certain stadiums...teams ect.

And if I remember right...the Chiefs put a crimp in one of our playoff runs early years under Bert...they almost blueprinted us in a game where they dominated and locked us down good.

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