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DH13 posted:

I can't get the idea of a WR at #27 out of my head.   Would be very unexpected of TT, which is fairly common for him.  He may have looked at last year's situation at WR as a warning about what can happen to AR and the O without a guy like Nelson.  Jordy only has a few years of being Jordy left.  I would think he could draft that guy in 2017 but if somebody like Treadwell or Doctson is there at 27....

I still think he goes DL or LB at 27 but that's based on what little I know.

I doubt he'll go receiver. I don't think there are any worth even close to the pick with the exception of Treadwell, who should be gone. 

DH13 posted:

I can't get the idea of a WR at #27 out of my head.   Would be very unexpected of TT, which is fairly common for him.  He may have looked at last year's situation at WR as a warning about what can happen to AR and the O without a guy like Nelson.  Jordy only has a few years of being Jordy left.  I would think he could draft that guy in 2017 but if somebody like Treadwell or Doctson is there at 27....

I still think he goes DL or LB at 27 but that's based on what little I know.

Obviously anything could happen but I'd be very shocked by a WR in the first or second.  They only have room on the roster for 6 guys and if he takes one early, that means a guy like Janis or Abbrederis is gone (Nelson, Cobb, Adams, Montgomery, Janis/Abbrederis, and drafted player).  Does cutting one of thos two and replacing him with a guy like Fuller or Doctson improve this team?  Maybe but not by much.  I think TT is going to chalk up the WR failures last year to injury.  Nelson out the full year, Adams in and out of the lineup, season ender for Montgomery, and the early injury to Cobb probably affected him more than we know.  That's a lot of issues for a WR group to handle.  

I would be shocked with anything other than a front 7 player, unless one of the top guys falls.  OT is a possibility too but those guys are as overdrafted as QBs and based on recent mocks, it's happening again with 4 OTs in the top 20 (Tunsil, Stanley, Conklin, and Decker.  I've even seen Spriggs up there).  Guess we'll find out tomorrow.......

To me I get the sense that TT approaches the 1st round (maybe the whole draft) with the thought process: what CAN'T I get later. I think back to when Edna Lacy was drafted, he could have taken her at 55 but seemed to trade back knowing he could still get her later..."I can take Lacy at 55 or I can take Lacy + a 6th rounder at 61". When I look at pick 27, I think about what TT CAN'T get later. He could get a good WR like Braxton Miller or Sterling Shepard in r2 or good developmental Tackle like Joe Haeg in r3. He CAN'T get a pass rusher like Noah Spence or a complete ILB like Ragland later, he CAN'T get a versatile DL with upside like Jon Bullard or Vernon Butler later. 

Ragland can cover well enough IMO. His football IQ and instincts are high enough that he gets to where he needs to be in time. I think the big struggle a lot of players have in coverage is not that they're too slow, it's that they're a step slow reading the play and can't make up the ground. Guys like Ragland, who have a natural feel for timing and the defensive concepts, get to where the need to be in time regardless of their 40 time. 

My final round 1 projection (with trades):

TradesTeamNamePositionSchool
from TENLos Angeles RamsJared GoffQBCalifornia
from CLEPhiladelphia EaglesCarson WentzQBNorth Dakota St.
San Diego ChargersDeForest BucknerDLOregon
Dallas CowboysJalen RamseyDBFlorida St.
Jacksonville JaguarsMyles JackLBUCLA
Baltimore RavensJoey BosaDEOhio St.
San Francisco 49ersRonnie StanleyOTNotre Dame
from CLEMiami DolphinsEzekial ElliotRBOhio St.
Tampa Bay BuccaneersSheldon RankinsDLLouisville
New York GiantsLeonard FloydLBGeorgia
Chicago BearsJarran ReedDLAlabama
New Orleans SaintsLaremy TunsilOTOle Miss
from MIACleveland BrownsPaxton LynchQBMemphis
Oakland RaidersVernon HargreavesCBFlorida 
from LATennessee TitansJack ConklinOTMichigan St.
Detroit LionsRyan KellyCAlabama
Atlanta FalconsDarron LeeLBOhio St.
from INDMinnesota VikingsWill FullerWRNotre Dame
Buffalo BillsShaq LawsonDEClemson
New York JetsNoah SpenceLBEastern Kentucky
Washington RedskinsKarl JosephSWest Virginia
Houston TexansJosh DoctsonWRTCU
from MINIndianapolis ColtsA'Shawn RobinsonDLAlabama
Cincinnati BengalsLaquon TreadwellWROle Miss
Pittsburgh SteelersWilliam JacksonCBHouston
Seattle SeahawksRobert NkemdicheDLOle Miss
Green Bay PackersReggie RaglandLBAlabama
Kansas City ChiefsAndrew BillingsDLBaylor
New England Patriots   
Arizona CardinalsEli AppleCBOhio St.
Carolina PanthersTaylor DeckerOTOhio St.
Denver BroncosJonathan BullardDLFlorida
Last edited by Grave Digger

Laremy Tunsil falling to the Saints?  I've been out of the country for the last 10 days but caught up on a lot of draft news, but what's the rationale for him dropping?  I figure his basement is #6 to Baltimore.  If not, Bucs and Giants have to take him, right?  

Everything else makes a ton of sense.  I don't agree with the picks, necessarily, but that's more personal preference.  I'm not high on guys like Lee, Fuller, Nkemdiche, but can definitely see them getting picked there.  

I think the Packers are in a great spot in this draft.  Ragland doesn't make sense to me in the teens but IMO, is great value at #27.  If he's Des Bishop 2.0 (ie: run stuffer and blitzer, limited in coverage), I'd be ecstatic.  I also really like the DT's that will be there: Billings, Jones, Bullard, Butler and the Bama guys (although they might be gone).  Plus, at the rate QB's are rising, Packers could easily trade back 5-8 spots and still get one of those guys.  Nice position to be in.  

I don't think it's so much that Tunsil is dropping as much as other guys are rising. Baltimore makes sense, but there has been some talk that Baltimore is hot after Bosa and San Fran is hot after Stanley. Theres a better chance it's all smoke and Tunsil is off the board early, but Im gonna go out on a limb and say he drops a little.

Little Tony Moll story:

The landscape had changed dramatically by 2006. The NFL draft wasn’t a primetime show yet, but it had grown into a true media colossus, with wall-to-wall TV coverage, miles of action footage and Mel Kiper Jr. blabbering endlessly.

And yet Moll, who attended Sonoma Valley High, had little idea of his prospects. He had mostly played tight end at the University of Nevada, but switched to offensive tackle for his senior season. He was not invited to the NFL scouting combine, though his athleticism had made a few teams take notice.

Moll knew he had no chance to be drafted in the first three rounds, so he didn’t pay much attention on Day 1. He had trouble sleeping that night, though, knowing Day 2 was a possibility. Moll woke up to the buzzing of his cell phone. Dallas Cowboys offensive line coach Tony Sparano was calling.


“He started talking really fast, like, ‘We’re gonna take you right away!’ ” Moll said. “A surge of emotion came over me. Is this a dream? What’s going on?”

Sparano asked Moll what he was doing up so early, and the big lineman, still half-asleep, repeated the first idea that popped into his mind: He was getting ready to go fishing.

“It was the only thing I could think of,” said Moll, 32, who is back in Sonoma and working as a mortgage banker with Pinnacle Capital Mortgage. “Now am I a football player who’s more interested in fishing than the draft?”

Whatever the reason, the Cowboys did not draft Moll in the fourth round. Or the fifth. He sat in his parents’ home in Sonoma and waited.

“Nate Burleson, who was a standout wide receiver at Nevada, I remember talking to him previously,” Moll recounted. “He said, ‘I fell asleep on the couch.’ For some reason, I had that stuck in my head. All day long I was glued to the TV, trying to figure out, ‘OK, they’re taking an O-lineman,’ or whatever. Of course, I fell asleep on the couch.

Again Moll was rousted in a fog. This time it was Packers offensive line coach Joe Philbin on the line. The next thing Moll knew, he was talking to Green Bay head coach Mike McCarthy and watching his name crawl across the bottom of the screen.

“Then my whole life changed,” Moll said.


He would make the Green Bay roster as a low fifth-round pick, start 10 games and block for Brett Favre as a rookie, and play six seasons with the Packers, Ravens and Chargers.”

http://www.pressdemocrat.com/s...g-to-join?artslide=0

 

oldschool posted:
Hungry5 posted:
oldschool posted:

The more you show your CD...the higher the score...the more I win.

Are you drunk? You clearly are not winning.

Still no answer... not surprised.

It's a bitch when you battle massive Cognitive Dissonance in your own head.

And that lady's and gentlemen is your 2 pt. dagger.

8-0  

Hello...all you have to do ...is let it go. 

I forgive you. 



You forgive me? For what?

As for your CD comments... I don't think you know what that means.





Still no answer... not surprised.



Last edited by H5
oldschool posted:
Hungry5 posted:
oldschool posted:

The more you show your CD...the higher the score...the more I win.

Are you drunk? You clearly are not winning.



Still no answer... not surprised.

It's a bitch when you battle massive Cognitive Dissonance in your own head.

And that lady's and gentlemen is your 2 pt. dagger.

8-0  

Hello...all you have to do ...is let it go. 

I forgive you. 

 

I' m thinking here that the "oldschool" user-name refers to the good old days of the NFL in the 1950s or 60s. Well, if that is the case the good old days  with the likes of Paul Brown and Lombardi were as politically correct as todays NFL. Hell, Lombardi even had a gay brother so no players were allowed to question another teammates sexuality or his heritage or you were through with Lombardi.  Your questioning of Lacy was way beyond what Lombardi would have tolerated. So, why don't you just go back to running your casino, drinking your fire water and spearing walleyes and leave the football talk to those who know football.  

Guys, there's no point in blocking a thread hijacker if you  keep quoting him. I don't have any time for attention whores. You know, I don't find this stuff amusing anymore (name the song). It's a game nobody wins, so I don't play. I'm here for Packer football.

I like this draft. I think we get a defensive starter at 27 and another (either DL or LB) day 2.  Can't wait, though I'll be working until 10 Thursday night. Would not be surprised by three bruisers (2 DT and 1 LT)

I disagree with McGinn about his analysis of Clark, but I don't think it's unrealistic that Clark is the pick. I think there will be someone better that is available at 27, but Clark would not be a bad addition. Clark has a lot of talent and has not hit his ceiling yet, but there's not one area of his game that has me really excited. He's not even close to the best run stuffer in the draft...Jarran Reed is far and away the top run stuffer and I would take Jon Bullard and Austin Johnson above Clark in that category also. Clark, Butler, and Jones are the 3 guys, out of all the DL prospects, who have the most upside, but none of them are quite there yet. 

Grave Digger posted:

I disagree with McGinn about his analysis of Clark, but I don't think it's unrealistic that Clark is the pick. I think there will be someone better that is available at 27, but Clark would not be a bad addition. Clark has a lot of talent and has not hit his ceiling yet, but there's not one area of his game that has me really excited. He's not even close to the best run stuffer in the draft...Jarran Reed is far and away the top run stuffer and I would take Jon Bullard and Austin Johnson above Clark in that category also. Clark, Butler, and Jones are the 3 guys, out of all the DL prospects, who have the most upside, but none of them are quite there yet. 

Would you take Clark over Billings? 

Final mock, no trades.

#27 - Kenny Clark/DT/UCLA

Projected him to the Packers with their first pick after a trade down in the last mock.  I'd rather see them draft Vernon Butler but when Thompson looks at the needs on the defensive line, plus this player's youth and pass-rush upside from the nose tackle spot, he seems the most likely candidate at #27.

#57 - Bronson Kaufusi/OLB/Brigham Young

Has played anywhere from 285 to 250...I'm guessing the Packers would want him at around 265 and would put him at outside linebacker.  If a late first/early second round grade defensive lineman (Chris Jones, Austin Johnson) slips to the area of #45, I wouldn't be surprised to see Thompson trade up and pick a second big defensive lineman.

#88 - Alex Lewis/OT/Nebraska

Tendency breaker pick for Thompson in that he's more of a thinner offensive lineman with longer arms and probably can't move all over the line (played left guard during his time at Colorado but he's either a left tackle or right tackle in the NFL).  But he does fit the profile of what Thompson likes in that he's tough, will battle every down and has a real mean streak to him. 

#125 - James Bradberry/S/Samford

As of yesterday Bradberry was not in the top 150 at CBS Sports, not in the top 150 at NFL.com, Nawrocki has him at #142, Ourlads has him at #149...the combined expert's opinion has him as a late sixth rounder.  Personally, I was thinking he's a solid fourth rounder and that's where he'll likely go.  Yesterday the JS published McGinn's top 100 players and Bradberry is included.  I'm still thinking fourth round and if he makes it to #125 then Thompson would love to pick him here.  Was a corner in college but I think Thompson would take him as a safety and use him like they use Micah Hyde.  Wouldn't be that surprised to see Thompson pick him at #88.

#131 - Nick Kwiatkoski/ILB/West Virginia

This is ILB pick'em.  Kwiatkoski, Nick Vigil/Utah State, Blake Martinez/Stanford could all carry similar grades on the Packer's board and all of them will probably get picked in this area of the draft.  I'm guessing Vigil is Thompson's favorite but he'll be picked ahead of #131 and Thompson would take Kwiatkoski over Martinez. 

#137 - Dean Lowry/DE/Northwestern

Had the reputation as a tough, try-hard guy with limited strength and athleticism but surprised everyone at the combine with plus-numbers across the board.  Was a really good player at Northwestern.  Tendency breaker pick in that he's not the 6-2, 300 pound gap penetrator that Thompson loves to pick.  Much more of a natural five-technique that would fit nicely in the Guion, Pennel, Kenny Clark (if picked by Green Bay) mix.

#163 - Brandon Williams/CB/Texas A&M

Of what I think Thompson will view as the team's seven primary needs, 6 of them have been filled (leaving only RB).  Very raw former running back that switched to cornerback in 2015.  Has decent height (5-11 3/8) and can really run (4.37 second 40-yard dash).  Project pick.

#200 - Daniel Lasco/RB/California

Lasco's stock spiked right after the combine but has slipped back down to this area of the draft.  I'm not real crazy about the running backs once it gets past the middle of round four.  If Thompson doesn't get a running back early, it will be interesting to see which one he picks late (or if he skips the position altogether).  West Virginia running back Wendall Smallwood is a pretty decent possibility as well.

#248 - Nelson Spruce/WR/Colorado

With this pick I looked at Spruce, Wendall Smallwood, Michigan State DE-Joel Heath, Montana OLB-Tyrone Holmes and Florida State ILB-Terrance Smith.  Since Thompson had already picked a RB, DE, OLB and ILB I went with him taking Spruce although it wouldn't be surprising to see him take another DLman or ILB.  Spruce is kind of average size-wise, average speed-wide, average athleticism...but was a super-productive player in college.  Caught 294 passes while at Colorado which is a record for PAC-12 receivers.  Insurance pick in case another receiver goes down in training camp.

FLPACKER posted:
Grave Digger posted:

I disagree with McGinn about his analysis of Clark, but I don't think it's unrealistic that Clark is the pick. I think there will be someone better that is available at 27, but Clark would not be a bad addition. Clark has a lot of talent and has not hit his ceiling yet, but there's not one area of his game that has me really excited. He's not even close to the best run stuffer in the draft...Jarran Reed is far and away the top run stuffer and I would take Jon Bullard and Austin Johnson above Clark in that category also. Clark, Butler, and Jones are the 3 guys, out of all the DL prospects, who have the most upside, but none of them are quite there yet. 

Would you take Clark over Billings? 

I would. I've said this before, I'm skeptical of players coming out of Baylor under Art Briles. A lot of great athletes, but few (if any) great football players. Billings is an insane athlete, but will he be the same player when he's not the best athlete in the front 7 and has to play within a system? I see him attack and fly around the field, but when he has to tie up blockers or show power in short yardage I see him struggle. 

Whoa.

@RapSheet: Sources: #Bama LB Reggie Ragland was flagged for an enlarged aorta, which requires yearly monitoring. Some teams have pushed him down a bit.

@RapSheet: According to seven teams, #Bama LB Reggie Ragland's enlarged aorta is not expected to alter his football career. He just must watch it close.

Last edited by ilcuqui

I intentionally skipped about five pages for obvious reasons so excuse me if someone has already posted this link.

McGinn's top 100:

http://www.jsonline.com/sports...198z1-377214661.html

And once again I'll take my shot.

PackerJoe's top 100:

Quarterback (6) - Carson Wentz/North Dakota State, Jared Goff/California, Paxton Lynch/Memphis, Connor Cook/Michigan State, Dak Prescott/Mississippi State, Christian Hackenberg/Penn State

Running Back (6) - Ezekiel Elliott/Ohio State, Derrick Henry/Alabama, Devontae Booker/Utah, Jordan Howard/Indiana, Kenneth Dixon/Louisiana Tech, C.J. Prosise/Notre Dame

Wide Receiver (9) - Laquon Treadwell/Mississippi, Corey Coleman/Baylor, Josh Doctson/Texas Christian, Will Fuller/Notre Dame, Sterling Shepard/Oklahoma, Tyler Boyd/Pittsburgh, Michael Thomas/Ohio State, Braxton Miller/Ohio State, Malcolm Mitchell/Georgia

Tight End (4) - Hunter Henry/Arkansas, Austin Hooper/Stanford, Nick Vannett/Ohio State, Jerell Adams/South Carolina

Offensive Tackle (10) - Laremy Tunsil/Mississippi, Ronnie Stanley/Notre Dame, Jack Conklin/Michigan State, Taylor Decker/Ohio State, Jason Spriggs/Indiana, Germain Ifedi/Texas A&M, Le’Raven Clark/Texas Tech, Shon Coleman/Auburn, Jerald Hawkins/Louisiana State, Alex Lewis/Nebraska

Offensive Guard (6) - Cody Whitehair/Kansas State, Joshua Garnett/Stanford, Christian Westerman/Arizona State, Nick Martin/Notre Dame, Connor McGovern/Missouri, Joe Thuney/North Carolina State

Center (3) - Ryan Kelly/Alabama, Max Tuerk/Southern California, Evan Boehm/Missouri

Defensive End (11) - Joey Bosa/Ohio State, DeForest Buckner/Oregon, Shaq Lawson/Clemson, Kevin Dodd/Clemson, Emmanuel Ogbah/Oklahoma State, Jonathan Bullard/Florida, Shilique Calhoun/Michigan State, Jihad Ward/Illinois, Carl Nassib/Penn State, Bronson Kaufusi/Brigham Young, Charles Tapper/Oklahoma

Defensive Tackle (13) - Sheldon Rankins/Louisville, A’Shawn Robinson/Alabama, Jarran Reed/Alabama, Robert Nkemdiche/Mississippi, Vernon Butler/Louisiana Tech, Kenny Clark/UCLA, Andrew Billings/Baylor, Chris Jones/Mississippi, Austin Johnson/Penn State, Maliek Collins/Nebraska, Hassan Ridgeway/Texas, Adolphus Washington/Ohio State, Javon Hargrave/South Carolina State

Outside Linebacker (10) - Myles Jack/UCLA, Leonard Floyd/Georgia, Darron Lee/Ohio State, Noah Spence/Eastern Kentucky, Su’a Cravens/Southern California, Kamalei Correa/Boise State, Jordan Jenkins/Georgia, Kyler Fackrell/Utah State, Deion Jones/Louisiana State, Yannick Ngakoue/Maryland

Inside Linebacker (3) - Reggie Ragland/Alabama, Joshua Perry/Ohio State, Kentrell Brothers/Missouri

Cornerback (11) - Jalen Ramsey/Florida State, Vernon Hargreaves III/Florida, Eli Apple/Ohio State, William Jackson III/Houston, Mackensie Alexander/Clemson, Kendall Fuller/Virginia Tech, Artie Burns/Miami, Fl, Xavien Howard/Baylor, Cyrus Jones/Alabama, Will Redmond/Mississippi State, KeiVarae Russell/Notre Dame

Safety (8) - Vonn Bell/Ohio State, Karl Joseph/West Virginia, Keanu Neal/Florida, T.J. Green/Clemson, Sean Davis/Georgia, Darian Thompson/Boise State, Miles Killebrew/Southern Utah, Jalen Mills/Louisiana State

I'm going with DL for their first round pick, unless Paxton Lynch is on the board then they trade back with the Browns or Cowboys (rumored to have interest).  I'd actually be pretty happy with Ragland at #27 but I just don't think TT values ILB enough to go with him in round 1.  

I'd love to predict which DL but there are way too many of them and they're all pretty unique.  I'd be pretty happy with Billings, Reed, C Jones, or Butler.  Not high on Nkemdiche or Robinson though.  Former is all talent no production (with off field issues) and latter offers literally zero pass rush.  

So, what does an enlarged aorta mean medically, exactly? The few articles I've read state it shouldn't affect his football career, but it will require annual monitoring. What exactly does this mean? An annual cardiogram/cardiac CT, or do they need to do more extensive testing? It seems that the information is contradictory. Some state that he'll drop several spots in the draft because of it. If it shouldn't affect his career, does somebody get a bargain?

Do we have any medical experts here that could shed some light on this, and the amount of increased risk an enlarged aorta means for a team??

Last edited by lambeausouth
lambeausouth posted:

So, what does an enlarged aorta mean medically, exactly? The few articles I've read state it shouldn't affect his football career, but it will require annual monitoring. What exactly does this mean? An annual cardiogram/cardiac CT, or do they need to do more extensive testing? It seems that the information is contradictory. Some state that he'll drop several spots in the draft because of it. If it shouldn't affect his career, does somebody get a bargain?

Do we have any medical experts here that could shed some light on this, and the amount of increased risk an enlarged aorta means for a team??

I work in the biomedical research field on connective tissue disorders (but am not an expert at cardiology). From my perspective, I wouldn't touch Ragland as an NFL player based on this. I would think he's at a much higher risk of an aortic aneurysm. He'd be monitored if he was a "normal" human being for things like left ventricular hypertrophy, etc., but you'd be very worried about high intensity activities like weightlifting, etc. that could put a lot of pressure on the aortic wall. You'd also want to make sure there wasn't some underlying connective tissue problem that would make him even more likely to rupture. They are probably worried about that and one of the big considerations for this (aortic aneurysm) is not lifting weights.

http://www.johnritterresearchp...t-is-aortic-disease/

 

Risk Factors

Several factors increase the risk of developing an aortic aneurysm or dissection, including environmental and genetic influences.

Environmental factors that increase the chance to develop an aortic aneurysm or dissection include:

  • Uncontrolled hypertension (high blood pressure)
  • Smoking
  • Bicuspid aortic valve
  • Weight lifting (see http://www.iradonline.org/arti.../lifestyle_recs.html for recommendations regarding lifestyle and work)
  • Trauma to the aorta (e.g. being in a car accident)
  • Inflammatory diseases

Here's another good link for this:

 

http://www.umcvc.org/condition...ments/enlarged-aorta

 

Is an Enlarged Aorta the Same Thing as an Aortic Aneurysm?

If you’ve been diagnosed with an enlarged aorta, you likely have many questions about your condition: How big is too big? When should I be worried? What does “watchful waiting” mean? Are there any early warning signs before it bursts?

Most of the answers to these questions depend on a variety of factors, including your age and body size, medical history and the position and size of your aorta, among others.

Dr. Michael Shea, a cardiologist at the University of Michigan Frankel Cardiovascular Center, says he hesitates to use the word "aneurysm" when consulting with patients about an enlarged aorta, instead referencing an aortic dilation or a blood vessel issue. “It’s a scary term,” he says, “especially if a patient has a relative who has died from it.”

Regardless of the terminology, when the aortic diameter is greater than 50 percent of what is considered normal for a patient, Dr. Shea says he begins to consider surgery. Watchful waiting, he says, is the typical protocol when aortic dilation is below 50 percent of “normal” for the specific patient. “But every case is different, which causes a lot of angst among patients.”

For example, a patient with connective tissue disorders such as Marfan or Loeys-Dietz syndromes typically experiences ruptures at a much lower diameter than a patient without one of these conditions. A patient with a bicuspid valve may also experience rupture at a lower diameter. For example, a person with a 5 cm dilation and a bicuspid aortic valve is more at risk than a person with a 5 cm dilation with no underlying conditions. Overall, patients with these conditions, as well as those with a family history of aneurysm, would be considered for surgical intervention at 4 to 5 cm.

I'll stick with my picks above.  Only thing is that I've seen a bunch of stuff today saying James Bradberry will definitely be picked tonight which takes out one of my fourth round guesses.  But if Chris Jones gets to #45, I wouldn't be surprised to see Thompson move up and grab him.  There many be players that Thompson might make a small move (say 5 spots) up to get, maybe somebody like Correa.  But the only significant move that Thompson would make up would be to land Jones.  If not I think he'd be happy to sit and wait and take Kaufusi at #57 to play OLB.  I think Kaufusi does make it to #57, if Lewis makes it to #88 is a much bigger question.

Hunter Henry would be one heck of a bargain at the end of round two but I don't think Thompson picks him.  Nick Vannett...Thompson already has one really slow third round tight end on the roster.  Cook took the one tight end opening and I think Thompson will want to address other areas.

I don't see Brothers as a strong candidate either.  Good player, worth the pick, but I'm guessing Thompson wouldn't have him as a second round player.  Thompson probably loves the film and what Brothers did in the agility drills, but probably wouldn't be crazy about his long speed (4.89 in the 40) and his length (30 3/4 inch arms).  Still would guess that Thompson sees the best value at ILB in round four with Vigil, Kwiatkoski and Martinez.

 

SI.com had Fackrell going to the Steelers at 59.  Means nothing but always like seeing mocks have your guys going earlier than you got them.  

Interesting about Ragland.  Thanks for posting MichiganPacker.  I really wonder if the the Justin Harrell debacle has made TT avoid injury risks at the top of the draft.  Plus, injury issues have changed the trajectories of Worthy, Sherrod, Neal, Jones and Perry.  Those guys had no pre-draft red flags, but TT has to hate having high round picks derailed due to injuries so if a red flag is there, maybe he just avoids it.  We'll probably never know

Day 3  round 4 "free picks" edition. Nick Kwiatkowski. ILB West Virginia. Tyler Irvin. RB SJ State. 

Would love to see Brothers fall all the way to 131. That's asking a bit much though. Nick is a nasty ILB that converted from safety. Led WV in tackles all 3 years he started. Looks and plays like Scooby Wright but Nick is considerably faster. I'd be fine with either in round 4 though. 

Last edited by ChilliJon

Brothers would be interesting.  I figured he'd go in the first three rounds, but Thompson wouldn't pick him because of the 40-time and arm-length.  But he was an excellent player at Missouri, made plays all over the field, and while parts of his combine workouts were ordinary he did do an excellent job in the agility drills.  So there is stuff there that Thompson would like and stuff there that Thompson probably doesn't like.  I could see Thompson using a round four pick on him though.

Thompson threw a curve ball at me by going OT second and OLB third.  I figured it would be the other way around with some attractive OLBs available at the end of round two and the OTs pretty well cleared out.  The trade up did me in.  Now the rest of my final mock is in bad shape because James Bradberry is off the board (not a big surprise) and Brandon Williams is off the board (that is a big surprise, never expected him to go as high as he did).

Of the 98 picks, I think I have 81 so far of my top 100 list and McGinn is up to 83.  So it looks like Big Bad Bob whooped me again this year.

Because analyzing mock accuracy is more important than analyzing the actual picks. 

"Thompson threw a curveball at me? That trade up did me in?" What you're saying is you don't care about GB. You care about being right on guessing. I liked it better when you didn't have interest in the NFL. 

Last edited by ChilliJon
PackerJoe posted:

I intentionally skipped about five pages for obvious reasons so excuse me if someone has already posted this link.

McGinn's top 100:

http://www.jsonline.com/sports...198z1-377214661.html

And once again I'll take my shot.

PackerJoe's top 100:

Quarterback (6) - Carson Wentz/North Dakota State, Jared Goff/California, Paxton Lynch/Memphis, Connor Cook/Michigan State, Dak Prescott/Mississippi State, Christian Hackenberg/Penn State

Running Back (6) - Ezekiel Elliott/Ohio State, Derrick Henry/Alabama, Devontae Booker/Utah, Jordan Howard/Indiana, Kenneth Dixon/Louisiana Tech, C.J. Prosise/Notre Dame

Wide Receiver (9) - Laquon Treadwell/Mississippi, Corey Coleman/Baylor, Josh Doctson/Texas Christian, Will Fuller/Notre Dame, Sterling Shepard/Oklahoma, Tyler Boyd/Pittsburgh, Michael Thomas/Ohio State, Braxton Miller/Ohio State, Malcolm Mitchell/Georgia

Tight End (4) - Hunter Henry/Arkansas, Austin Hooper/Stanford, Nick Vannett/Ohio State, Jerell Adams/South Carolina

Offensive Tackle (10) - Laremy Tunsil/Mississippi, Ronnie Stanley/Notre Dame, Jack Conklin/Michigan State, Taylor Decker/Ohio State, Jason Spriggs/Indiana, Germain Ifedi/Texas A&M, Le’Raven Clark/Texas Tech, Shon Coleman/Auburn, Jerald Hawkins/Louisiana State, Alex Lewis/Nebraska

Offensive Guard (6) - Cody Whitehair/Kansas State, Joshua Garnett/Stanford, Christian Westerman/Arizona State, Nick Martin/Notre Dame, Connor McGovern/Missouri, Joe Thuney/North Carolina State

Center (3) - Ryan Kelly/Alabama, Max Tuerk/Southern California, Evan Boehm/Missouri

Defensive End (11) - Joey Bosa/Ohio State, DeForest Buckner/Oregon, Shaq Lawson/Clemson, Kevin Dodd/Clemson, Emmanuel Ogbah/Oklahoma State, Jonathan Bullard/Florida, Shilique Calhoun/Michigan State, Jihad Ward/Illinois, Carl Nassib/Penn State, Bronson Kaufusi/Brigham Young, Charles Tapper/Oklahoma

Defensive Tackle (13) - Sheldon Rankins/Louisville, A’Shawn Robinson/Alabama, Jarran Reed/Alabama, Robert Nkemdiche/Mississippi, Vernon Butler/Louisiana Tech, Kenny Clark/UCLA, Andrew Billings/Baylor, Chris Jones/Mississippi, Austin Johnson/Penn State, Maliek Collins/Nebraska, Hassan Ridgeway/Texas, Adolphus Washington/Ohio State, Javon Hargrave/South Carolina State

Outside Linebacker (10) - Myles Jack/UCLA, Leonard Floyd/Georgia, Darron Lee/Ohio State, Noah Spence/Eastern Kentucky, Su’a Cravens/Southern California, Kamalei Correa/Boise State, Jordan Jenkins/Georgia, Kyler Fackrell/Utah State, Deion Jones/Louisiana State, Yannick Ngakoue/Maryland

Inside Linebacker (3) - Reggie Ragland/Alabama, Joshua Perry/Ohio State, Kentrell Brothers/Missouri

Cornerback (11) - Jalen Ramsey/Florida State, Vernon Hargreaves III/Florida, Eli Apple/Ohio State, William Jackson III/Houston, Mackensie Alexander/Clemson, Kendall Fuller/Virginia Tech, Artie Burns/Miami, Fl, Xavien Howard/Baylor, Cyrus Jones/Alabama, Will Redmond/Mississippi State, KeiVarae Russell/Notre Dame

Safety (8) - Vonn Bell/Ohio State, Karl Joseph/West Virginia, Keanu Neal/Florida, T.J. Green/Clemson, Sean Davis/Georgia, Darian Thompson/Boise State, Miles Killebrew/Southern Utah, Jalen Mills/Louisiana State

Final total correct was 82.  That's the same as I did last year.  McGinn beats me by 2.  Still did a bit above average.  Top score was 87.  Mayock and McShay also finished with 84.  Zierlein of NFL.com had the same as I did.  Finished ahead of Brandt (80) and Kiper (79).

http://www.thehuddlereport.com/scoring/top100.shtml

This next part is just for chillijon.  Since I did above average in my predictions I will give the Packers an above average grade in this draft.  If I would have beat McGinn then I would have given the Packers an A+.  If I would have finished behind Kiper than I would have said the Packers did horrible, Thompson is getting old and senile and the Packers suck and Go Bears.  But since I did OK with my predictions, and that's obviously the most important thing when it comes to the NFL draft, I'll say the Packers get an above average grade in the draft.

There were some comments during the season about Clark not looking the part. Always smart to make a judgement on a rookie D-linemen. He looks a bit under-sized but plays with really good leverage and great hand use. He only got better as the season wore on - when it mattered most. 

No rookie wall here. Would be great if he can become a player. 

Last edited by Packdog

K.Clark's already a player and an offseason of weight training surely helps

Ben Fennell had some great cutups on twitter of Clark taking on double teams, showing his technique, but I can't access them anymore. Couple of other ones linked below

https://twitter.com/BenFennell...s/821013176317865988

https://twitter.com/benfennell...s/780538761796923392

https://twitter.com/BenFennell...s/818928365772177412

I'm not sure he's really undersized for the role he plays. The days of the Gilbert Brown/Ryan Pickett base NT are over; everybody plays nickel all the time.

GB was looking for a DL with both run/pass talents to play next to Daniels. Clark looks like a great fit and he'll get even more snaps in 2017.

2016 DL snaps were Daniels 64 %, Guion 44 %  Clark 33 %.

Last edited by Satori

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