I think there is a good chance if they win out they are in. However, a 1 loss Clemson and 1 loss Washington team in the mix would make things a lot more interesting. I think you still have to hope one of those teams loses another one.
Then there is a team like Oklahoma that is coming on strong at the end of the year. If it came down to OU and UW as two loss teams that could be a problem.
UW isn't sexy and that's always a concern.
Still fun to even be in a position to talk about it. Nice distraction from the Packers sucking right now.