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40 time is relevant for WR, CB and safety.  That's it.  Those are the only positions that will run 40 yards in a given play on a consistent basis.  I can see RB too, but they run 40 yards so infrequently that you really can't change your draft board based on a 4.6 vs 4.4 forty.  Now sometimes a slow 40 time is indicative of a lack of athleticism, which is a red flag.  But 40 on it's own is just so meaningless for an in-the-box player.  

 

I know they take 10 yard splits, but I'd be more interested in just a flat out a "ten time" rather than a "forty time" for in-the-box players.  Just line up and run 10 yards.  For any front 7 player, 0-lineman and RB, all every play occurs in about a ten yard box.  Why not cater the workout to that?  Even QB.  Who cares how fast you can get 40 yards, I'm more curious about how fast you can get to 10 yards (ie: escaping the pocket).  

 

Very surprised that the combine has had the same drills forever.  For how much money goes into this you'd think they would adjust them to better evaluate the positions.  

The drills are pretty good, The 40 and Bench Press get the hype, but are probably the most useless, in general. The three cone and shuttle are big for LBs, CBs, RBs, Safeties and pass rushers. the gauntlet is fun to watch to see how naturally guys catch the ball, etc. For the guys who scout all-day, every-day it's more to compare guys side-by-side you have rated similar from film, etc. or to give you a heads-up to go back and look at the tape again on a guy you may have overlooked.

 

IoW, I doubt many (if any guys) ever go from a fourth-rounder to a first-rounder, for example, but if a scout has say Randy Gregory and Vic Beasley with the same rating, the drills may be enough to put them in an order vs. a "whichever, it doesn't matter".

Last edited by Herschel
Originally Posted by Grave Digger:
Vontaze Burfict ran a 5+ 40 and looked terrible in the drills. Combine can't measure how good of a football player you are, just how good of an athlete.

Burfict is an ahole. He went in fat and out of shape with the attitude that he didn't give a ****. I believe he left the combine early. He got what he deserved when he went undrafted.

The Eagles gave away two second round picks to move up in the 1st round to draft Mike Mamula after he quietly spent months practicing combine drills. He nailed each drill then scored 49 out of 50 on the wonderlic (Still the highest score ever). 5 years later he was out of football with a few meaningless stats. 

 

#1. Does the guy really like playing football?

#2. Does the film say the guy can play football? 

 

Get the first question wrong and things tend to fall apart. 

You have to think most personnel guys watch a ton of game tape to evaluate prospects.   To me, that's the most important indicator - not all the drills at the Combine.

What the Combine can get you is insight into the person- i.e. interviews. 

The only advantage I see is if you have a player that wants to showcase or validate some physical skill such as bench press reps or 40 to build the hype and improve their draft position.
Originally Posted by ChilliJon:

The Eagles gave away two second round picks to move up in the 1st round to draft Mike Mamula after he quietly spent months practicing combine drills. He nailed each drill then scored 49 out of 50 on the wonderlic (Still the highest score ever). 5 years later he was out of football with a few meaningless stats. 

 

The problem with this line of thinking is :

1. It was ONE guy, TWENTY years ago....

2. ...when all the other guys weren't also training for the specific drills.  

 

The combine is what it is, a good place for interviews, medical exams and the ability to compare guys' athleticism side-by-side to help confirm or deny what they saw on tape or delineate between similar guys. It's not a be-all/end-all, but it's not nothing either.

 

Remember: the tape showed that Ricky Elmore was a productive football player.

Last edited by Herschel

There have been others in recent years.  Mamula is just the most infamous.

 

Matt Jones - the white guy QB turned WR who ran fast and washed out

Darius Heyward-Bey - although who knows where he would've been drafted by someone who wasn't senile

Vernon Gholston - nuff said

James "Cone Drill" Lee - Or was it "Big Hands" Lee?  I can't remember, but at least that stiff was only a waste of around a fifth-rounder.  I'm putting him here instead of Mandarich, as that's still too painful.

 

The workout warrior types seem to be spotted better by teams these days, but it still happens.

Last edited by JJSD
Originally Posted by Herschel:

       
Originally Posted by ChilliJon:

The Eagles gave away two second round picks to move up in the 1st round to draft Mike Mamula after he quietly spent months practicing combine drills. He nailed each drill then scored 49 out of 50 on the wonderlic (Still the highest score ever). 5 years later he was out of football with a few meaningless stats. 

 

The problem with this line of thinking is :

1. It was ONE guy, TWENTY years ago....

2. ...when all the other guys weren't also training for the specific drills.  

 

The combine is what it is, a good place for interviews, medical exams and the ability to compare guys' athleticism side-by-side to help confirm or deny what they saw on tape or delineate between similar guys. It's not a be-all/end-all, but it's not nothing either.

 

Remember: the tape showed that Ricky Elmore was a productive football player.


       


Awesome post.

Mike Mamula was actually a decent player and if he was drafted in the late 1st or 2nd round (where he should have been), his career would have been considered a success.  He played in 77 games over 5 years and had over 200 tackles, 31.5 sacks, 8 forced fumbles and 6 recovered fumbles.  Not bad stats for a DE.  Injuries ended his career, not lack of talent.  Mike Mamula.  

Originally Posted by CUPackFan:

40 time is relevant for WR, CB and safety.  That's it.  Those are the only positions that will run 40 yards in a given play on a consistent basis.  I can see RB too, but they run 40 yards so infrequently that you really can't change your draft board based on a 4.6 vs 4.4 forty.  Now sometimes a slow 40 time is indicative of a lack of athleticism, which is a red flag.  But 40 on it's own is just so meaningless for an in-the-box player.  

 

I know they take 10 yard splits, but I'd be more interested in just a flat out a "ten time" rather than a "forty time" for in-the-box players.  Just line up and run 10 yards.  For any front 7 player, 0-lineman and RB, all every play occurs in about a ten yard box.  Why not cater the workout to that?  Even QB.  Who cares how fast you can get 40 yards, I'm more curious about how fast you can get to 10 yards (ie: escaping the pocket).  

 

Very surprised that the combine has had the same drills forever.  For how much money goes into this you'd think they would adjust them to better evaluate the positions.  

Finally, the NFL is listening to me.  Surprised it took them this long to change it.  

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