Al on Gambling

Idiotic bet. If you like the underdog to win, you don't ONLY bet the money line particularly when they're such a big underdog.

Case in point, January 1996. I bet the Packers vs. the Niners. They were +9.5 underdogs & +280 on the ML. I was certain they wouldn't lose by that much. You don't get a chance to bet a good team as such a huge underdog very often. So I took my shot.

$500 on the ML which pays $1,400 + $500 and $1,100 on the spread which pays $1,000 + $1,100

As we know the packers won handily. So I laid out $1,600 total & received $4,100 after the win.

My point is, had the Packers lost by 9 points or less. My line bet would've still cashed. To the tune of $2,100 returned to me. I still profit $500 even IF the Packers lost.

Never bet large without a "cover your ass" bet.

(11/11/2013 07:38:00 PM) - Al 

That goes against psychology. The Dolphins have heard all week about bad behavior of a player or two. They're on the road tonight, meaning they are getting a welcome respite from constant hometown complaining. I like MIA easily tonight. See if I overthought it or not.

EDIT: MIA did dominate much of the game, but came out very flat. 

 

This guy really knows his football.  And his psychology.