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If you are the betting type, I would guess the line just changed substantially in the last hour with Giannis being declared out for a sore calf.

No Giannis, Middleton still on a minutes restriction, and no Jae Crowder. That is every veteran they have that remains a competent wing defender.

A lineup of Lillard, Beasley, Portis, Lopez, and Connaughton (for the almost 30 minutes a game Middleton is off the floor) might be worst perimeter defensive team the Bucks have sent out there in the last decade.  

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Sometimes sports make so much sense.

When Giannis played against the Raptors two weeks ago, the Bucks lost 130-111.

When Giannis sat out against the Raptors, the Bucks win 128-112.

So, the Bucks are 35 points better without Giannis ?

Of course, playing Brook Lopez in drop defense instead of chasing guys at the perimeter changes things. He had 7 blocks tonight. Brook has 27 blocks in the 7 games after the players asked Griffin to run a drop defense. He had 2 in the first 4 games.

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