Who has the easier road to the NFC North?
Week | DET | GBP |
9 | Bye | Bye |
10 | MIA | CHI |
11 | at ARI | PHI |
12 | at NEP | at MIN |
13 | CHI | NEP |
14 | TAM | ATL |
15 | MIN | at BUF |
16 | at CHI | at TAM |
17 | at GBP | DET |
Get healthy.
Who has the easier road to the NFC North?
Week | DET | GBP |
9 | Bye | Bye |
10 | MIA | CHI |
11 | at ARI | PHI |
12 | at NEP | at MIN |
13 | CHI | NEP |
14 | TAM | ATL |
15 | MIN | at BUF |
16 | at CHI | at TAM |
17 | at GBP | DET |
Get healthy.
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I think Detroit has a little less suck with the new leadership. I would speculate that this will be a pretty tight fight and that final home game could carry a lot of weight.
Edit: not sure if you wanted my real expectations or my lowered expectations...
I agree. I don't think Detroit is going anywhere this year. What sucks is they've been pulling out these games the last few weeks without most of their weapons on offense.
Since we are essentially 2 games back, I'm hoping it comes down to the last week. I can't envision a scenario where we have it locked up
If Det loses two more, lets say @ ARI and @ NEP, they would be 11-4 coming into that game.
They should be getting healthy soon so expecting more than that is unlikely. That means we can only afford 1 loss to be 11-4 as well.
Now, if we come in at 10-5 and them at 11-4 and then won, the tie breaker would probably go the 3rd level as we would split head to head and probably each have 1 division loss. The 3rd tie breaker is common games. Right now we are tied as they lost to CAR but beat NOLA. If we both lose to NEP, it would go to conference record, where they have the edge as one of there losses is to BUF.
Long story short, I feel like we can only afford one more loss, and it can't be a division loss.
Originally Posted by El-Ka-Eeyore:
not sure if you wanted my real expectations or my lowered expectations...
Not the same?
Oh yeah, the wild card is no lock either...
The Eagles only have 2 losses while San Fran and Sea are at 3. Sea own the head to head with us so that Eagles game could end up being what gets us in or keeps us out.
Hopefully the Cards and Niners can each put a loss on SEA.
I don't see much difference between the two schedules. We play PHI, they play ARZ. Draw. I've said before that that last game could be for the div and maybe even for a playoff birth. Everyone being smug about them collapsing again should realize they would have to collapse against CHI twice, TB and MIN. I don't see that happening.
GBP get PHI and NEP at home while DET goes to NEP and ARI. I wouldn't call that a wash.
I'd feel a lot better if they didn't have a 1.5 game lead.
Week | DET | GBP |
9 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
10 | MIA (W) | CHI (W) |
11 | at ARI (L) | PHI (L) |
12 | at NEP (L) | at MIN (W) |
13 | CHI (W) | NEP (L) |
14 | TAM (W) | ATL (W) |
15 | MIN (W) | at BUF (W) |
16 | at CHI (L) | at TAM (W) |
17 | at GBP (L) | DET (W) |
Green Bay 11-5
Detroit 10-6
If GB gets healthy, I could see them winning out in the regular season.
Chicago will give DET a game, if it's in CHI or DET, who knows, but both of those games aren't just gimmes.
I think we beat the Pats at home, on the road, might be different. AZ is tough, and have to be in the mix for the WC. So, right now, you have DAL/PHI, SF/AZ/SEA, DET/GB all in the mix for the WC. No NFC South team should be in the mix. I think the NFC West will go down to the wire. AZ has beaten the Niners, has one more left with them, but has yet to play SEA or STL.
I think the schedules are pretty close to a wash. Don't see Detroit collapsing like in the past. The new leadership will do a better job of holding things together -- provided Suh or Stafford don't go off the deep end. On the other hand, I see our D in big trouble against both Philly and NE. That could leave us on the outside looking in for the division, and in trouble for a wild card. And face it, even if we do get in, who are we going to stop? We would need our D especially to play way above their heads to win some games.
"And face it, even if we do get in, who are we going to stop?"
I hear ya and I agree. What gives me hope is that the NFC seems weak compared to last year. Dallas has Romo, so even if they are that good, the chances that he chokes are always high. Sea and San Fran seem down this year and Foles isn't half the player he was last year.
It's not like last year when you knew the NFCC was going to be SEA and San Fran.
Looks like Nick Fairley will be out for Detroit for a while if not the whole season. I don't wish injury on anyone, but that seems like karma doing it's thing with that guy...all the times he's purposely tried to injure other players.
11-5 seems realistic to me. 12-4 is the best case scenario, 9-7 is the worst case scenario. As for Detroit:
Detroit finishes 10-6, and gets a wildcard.
If we blow out the Bears in Week 10, they will pack it up and quit on the season completely. Again, we get to face a team that's backed into a corner. Yippee.
My fantasy team can't fathom Gronk playing out the rest of the season
So for GB, CHI is a mess and an easy win but for DET, CHI is hard to read and a win for CHI?
I honestly don't believe making the playoffs makes any difference if we can't beat good teams when we get there.