Dolphins Week

72% chance at the playoffs if we run the table.

Based on what I saw of the Dolphins O last week, I fully expect them to get 500 yards.

1. Mostert

2. Waddle

3. Hill

They all scare me..

If the Packers run the table, the Giants and Commanders lose out, and the Seahawks lose 2, the Packers are the #6.

And if my aunt had testicles…..

@NumberThree posted:

If the Packers run the table, the Giants and Commanders lose out, and the Seahawks lose 2, the Packers are the #6.

That sound you hear is the real world asking you to return from whichever dream world you are in right now... 

I want to live in that world.

Which one?

@NumberThree posted:

If the Packers run the table, the Giants and Commanders lose out, and the Seahawks lose 2, the Packers are the #6.

There is no chance this team wins out. I would be thrilled if we could somehow beat MN!

I think their playoff chances end this coming Sunday in Miami. That is a dangerous receiving core and the Packers' pass rush isn't good enough to threaten Tua enough to allow the secondary to hold up in coverage against two guys as fast as Christian Watson.

Obviously, their playoff chances were torpedoed during a 5 game losing steak which included losses to 4 teams they should have beaten. Teams that lose three games to teams QB'd by Daniel Jones, Zach Wilson, and Taylor Heinicke don't deserve to be in the playoffs.

AJ Dillon has cleared concussion protocol, Matt LaFleur says.

— Matt Schneidman (@mattschneidman) December 20, 2022

Last night was the first time the Packers have produced a positive EPA on offense, defense and special teams all season. https://t.co/4BrBvJNQVL

— Zach Kruse (@zachkruse2) December 20, 2022

@Fandame posted:

Which one?

It might have been the one where Keil's aunt had testicles.

She had kind of a scratchy beard too…there was often talk amongst the cousins at Thanksgiving, but we didn’t want to get punished.

@Blair Kiel posted:

And if my aunt had testicles…..

She'd teabag you?

Packers are going to need to hang about 35 to win this one. They should have put up about 40 on the Rams but lets face it the Rams suck.

Mostert gives me ptsd

Dillon is a go.

https://www.si.com/nfl/packers...urn-page-to-dolphins

The Packers enter Week 16 with a 12% chance to make the playoffs, according to ESPN Analytics.

They're projected to 26% with a win Sunday at Miami and 1.5% with a loss -- independent of other outcomes this week.

They will be eliminated with a loss AND a WASH win at SF.

— Rob Demovsky (@RobDemovsky) December 21, 2022

While I realize his knee was one issue and the appendix is entirely a different one, you have to wonder if Bakh's just at a stage that regardless of what/where he's ailing, he's just not going to recover like he did in his early 20's. He'll be a big decision in 2023 for Gute/Ball to make.

Only player not in team stretch was David Bakhtiari. It’s only a jog through so there could be others who show up as DNPs on the injury report later today because that is an estimation of what they would’ve done in a regular practice. pic.twitter.com/KtaIbSiSqA

— Rob Demovsky (@RobDemovsky) December 21, 2022

If we had a legit shot of getting into the playoffs, he'd be playing. There is no need to rush him back. Gives Zach Tom valuable reps.

But yes, there is validity to him not healing as quickly as he did in his younger years.

It's time to spend some high draft capital on a LT/RT candidate. Tom is great, Yosh isn't anything more than a backup. Jenkins, should they re-sign him, is a guard.

I'll disagree about Yosh.
There was a time when it seemed he couldn't past the PS, and I thought it was time for the Packers to cut bait.
But whatever happened, happened, like his light finally coming on. When he was thrust into being the starting LT last year, he responded beautifully and had a damn fine season.
Not so much this year, but he hasn't been playing at LT. I don't think he is as effective at any other position. The OL as a whole regressed during the offseason, so it's not like he is solely responsible for poor performance.

I don't know why Tom was chosen at LT, or what the coaches have considered. It may be that it would cause the least disruption at other positions. Or it could be that Tom is a better athlete, or is more suited to play there.
And it seemingly hasn't been a bad decision; Tom has played well and he and Jenkins have solidified the left side of the line.

Whatever the case may be, I think Yosh is a starting-caliber LT. He may turn out to be at RT (he has been so far), but I think he's much more than just a backup.

Agree with Timmy! I think Yosh is a starting Tackle in the league. Certainly no worse than the first backup at either spot.

@R MaN posted:

1. Mostert

2. Waddle

3. Hill

They all scare me..

They scare me as well especially with that speed on offense so that is why the game plan has to be simple.  You play keep away but running the dang ball and get in front of them so it takes away their running game.

Honestly, I do not have much hope in this one but will be stoked it they pull it off

The best news of all is that I am free and clear of in law commitments on Christmas day due to the weather here so I get to see the game.  My mother in law forbids sports on Christmas day but  -35 wind  chills freed me and I get to spend the day  with old fashions, fire place, and Packers football.

@PackLandVA posted:

Agree with Timmy! I think Yosh is a starting Tackle in the league. Certainly no worse than the first backup at either spot.

He will occasionally get beat badly by a speed rush but there's not many guys you can make a claim that they just don't allow that to happen.

This goes out to the Heckler and to anyone else it may apply to

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEwl_sAiAtM

I'm going to talk some $hit and hope it doesn't bite me on the ass...
The Dolphins are the Vikings of the AFC.
8-6 with an outstanding +1 net points.

This should be a pretty good matchup. #3 passing offense vs #2 passing defense.
#27 rushing offense vs #29 rushing defense (LOL!).
Reversed, it will be the #16 pass offense vs the #27 pass defense, and #12 rush offense vs the #10 rush defense.
The Packers may actually have an advantage on STs (!). Dolphins are terrible returning kicks, fair at punt returns. The Pack is statistically better at both, and that's with Amari's stats figured in. The same is true when defending KOs and punts.

So, the game plan should be simple. Be aggressive on defense, play a light box, and match our best defenders against their biggest weapons. I have tremendous doubt that will actually happen, unfortunately.
And, of course, the best defense is a good offense, so extending drives to keep the ball away will be critical. Likewise, scoring TDs on red zone opportunities.

In spite of what most media thinks, we have a real shot at winning this game.

Bisaccia is an absolute legend for this. pic.twitter.com/mODaWBTjn2

— Aaron Nagler (@AaronNagler) December 23, 2022

We can beat a team like the Rams without winning the TO battle, but going to have to win that stat on the road this week.

@ilcuqui posted:

Bisaccia is an absolute legend for this. pic.twitter.com/mODaWBTjn2

— Aaron Nagler (@AaronNagler) December 23, 2022

His entire presser was awesome.  It lasted 3 minutes.  First the above.  Then someone asked him hypotheticals about players coming from the Raiders, he said "I'm only going to talk about the game this week".  Someone asks him about the game this week, he says "I already talked about that to you earlier this week".  Presser over. lol  Media getting a little tough love from the coach.

Wonder if he'd be a good defensive coordinator?

Tonyan, who missed the second half of last season with a torn ACL, should be more of a focal point this week because the Dolphins have been chewed up and spit out by opposing tight ends. The Dolphins have allowed the second-most receptions (86), fifth-most yards (832) and third-most touchdowns (nine) to tight ends.

Even with their elite receiver tandem, it was tight end Dawson Knox who led the Bills in receptions (six) and yards (98) last week. The Chargers’ tight ends combined for seven receptions two weeks ago. Three weeks ago, the Dolphins held 49ers star George Kittle to two receptions but, a week earlier, Houston’s tight ends caught seven passes. In back-to-back games at midseason, Chicago’s Cole Kmet scored two touchdowns and Detroit’s tight ends combined for five receptions for 100 yards.

https://www.si.com/nfl/packers...nst-dolphins-defense

This season, 26 tight ends have been targeted at least 40 times. According to Pro Football Focus, Tonyan is 11th in receptions, second in catch percentage (82.1) and third in drop percentage (one; 2.1 percent). So, while he might not be a great downfield threat or run-after-catch target, he’s been reliable when given opportunities. On his only catch against the Rams, he broke a tackle to convert a third-and-2.

“He’s got incredible hands. Great hand-eye coordination,” tight ends coach John Dunn said recently. “He’s a hands catcher. It’s very natural to him. Strong hands, very confident in his hands, great hand-eye coordination. He does a really good job of plucking the football out of the air. That’s really what it is. He’s got strong hands and he uses his hands. He has been very reliable.”

https://cheeseheadtv.com/blog/...-theres-a-chance-457

Not optimistic about this game at all. Barry is going to be soft zoning like a mother fucker this week. 😢

So, what about the defense? In a must-win game, can the defense step up to the plate?

The offensive minded head coach, Mike McDaniel, coaching buddies with Matt LaFleur, is enjoying much success in his first season at the helm in Miami. The offense boasts two receivers in the top 10 of receiving yards – Tyreek Hill (2nd; 1,529 yards) and Jaylen Waddle (7th; 1,117 yards) – and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is first among starting quarterbacks in yards per attempt (8.6) and passer rating (107.8). The Dolphins are also third in passing yards per game (273.6). And lest I forget about the Green Bay playoff killer, running back Raheem Mostert. While Mostert appeared in nine total games the last two seasons, the speedster, who reached a top-end speed of 21.23 miles per hour earlier this season, has played in 13 games this season and produced 746 rushing yards on 153 carries (4.9 yards per carry). The Purdue product is also coming off his best performance of the season as he ran for 136 yards in the snow last week against Buffalo, averaging 8 yards per carry. I am sure he is giddy beyond belief to face off against the Packers' run defense that ranks 29th in the NFL.

One of Joe Barry’s signatures throughout the 2022 season, unfortunately, has been playing soft coverage. That will not work against the Dolphins because of Tua’s quick release and also because of how McDaniel structures the passing attack.

https://cheeseheadtv.com/blog/...casion-on-sunday-524

If there is a game plan that Barry can borrow from to limit Tagovailoa, look no further than the Los Angeles Chargers’ game plan in the team’s Week 14 victory over the Dolphins. The Alabama product was 3-of-17 at one point and finished 10-of-28 for 145 yards and 1 touchdown (65.3 passer rating). Overall, the Chargers held the Dolphins to 219 total yards and did so without star playmaker Derwin James and cornerback Bryce Callahan.

“We knew he loved to throw inside the hashes," Chargers linebacker Drue Tranquill said, according to ESPN. "He was gonna try to get Tyreek and Jaylen (Waddle) in on those dagger routes, so we definitely packed the middle a little bit and forced him to try to throw it outside.”

Not only did the Chargers pack the middle, but they also employed press coverage, something that Barry seems to be allergic to. So, will Barry actually adjust his tendencies when defending the pass (and the run, for that matter) on Christmas Day, or will he continue to be his stubborn self and put the defense in losing spots? The season depends on it.

I believe in the players.
I DON'T believe in Joe "Mr. Whipple" Barry and his Charmin defense.

@YATittle posted:

“He’s got incredible hands. Great hand-eye coordination,” tight ends coach John Dunn said recently. “He’s a hands catcher. It’s very natural to him. Strong hands, very confident in his hands, great hand-eye coordination. He does a really good job of plucking the football out of the air. That’s really what it is. He’s got strong hands and he uses his hands. He has been very reliable.”

Excellent coach... I believe he's from the Rock Biter coaching tree.

Overly pessimistic predictions from the Packer beat writers. Lowest point total for Dolphins is 31 so they see Joe Barry and crew having a very difficult day (I tend to agree).

@michiganjoe posted:

Overly pessimistic predictions from the Packer beat writers. Lowest point total for Dolphins is 31 so they see Joe Barry and crew having a very difficult day (I tend to agree).

Is it "all" in Barry???