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x4 guys -

Please humor me here ...

Total Quarterback Rating System (T-QB) was an idea that sprung from the fact that Neil O’Donnell has a higher QB rating in the regular season than Bart Starr. So does Jake Delhomme, Brian Griese & Duante Culpepper. Nothing against these athletes, but it shows a flaw in the rating system, in the fact, that it is unable to cross different eras of passers and the adaption to the passing game over the changes in the rules.

So the T-QB is the attempt to fix that issue by a formula that compares any QB against their peers on a season by season basis to get an efficiency rating. The efficiency rating is based off of eight different passing statistics, all with an equivalent 12.5% of the pie. The efficiency total per season is summed up and then divided by the number of game appearances and multiplied by 10 to get the T rating. The current system measures four different passing categories, not saying more is better, but gives the T-QB more balance. It is also designed to extrapolate those eight passing categories out even more (if one so desired too) in a historical context.

My obvious bias is for the Green Bay Packers and their QBs (Starr, Dickey, Favre, Rodgers, et. al.), but the T-QB is not designed to show that Starr is a better regular season QB than O’Donnell, maybe he’s not, so it goes. Also, under the current rating system, which again is flawed, Aaron Rodgers is the highest rated passer of all time. I also eliminate the longevity records of which Brett Favre owns every one, more or less. So I’m throwing out the system that has a Packers QB at #1 and a system that eliminates longevity, that had a another former Packers QB at #1. And if I could develop a formula to show that Lynn Dickey was the greatest regular season QB of all time, then everyone would know it was biased. Nevertheless, Lynn Dickey was pretty dang good, IMHO.

Please keep in mind that these are passing statistics that cover the regular season only. It is not designed to be the only way to measure the quality of a QB. Again, passing stats and regular season only. The T rating can be used as part of a larger formula, however, thought measuring passing was the best place to start. This is also the initial design of the formula and it may or may not meet the goals intended, but it was fun to play in these numbers for a few hours. Look forward to any type of feedback on this.

Here are the preliminary results of twenty players (1956 - 2010)

QB



Brady
101.39 (T Rating)
95.6 (current NFL QB rating)
5.79 (Difference)

Manning
98.15
94.9
3.25

Marino
95.78
86.4
9.38

Rodgers
93.31
101.9
-8.59

Brees
92.74
92.5
0.24

Warner
91.78
93.7
-1.92

Favre
89.77
86
3.77

Unitas
89.06
78.2
10.86

Starr
88.77
80.5
8.27

O'Donnell
88.17
81.8
6.37

Fouts
88.06
80.2
7.86

Kelly
86.26
84.4
1.86

Palmer
85.95
86.3
-0.35

McNabb
85.54
85.6
-0.06

Elway
85.18
79.9
5.28

Culpepper
84.54
87.8
-3.26

Griese, Brian
75.87
82.7
-6.83

Delhomme
75.60
81.2
-5.60

Dickey
71.83
70.9
0.93

Dilfer
68.45
70.2
-1.75


Players in the 1950s, 60s and 70s received a boost, while current players went down with a few exceptions. I just started with those 20 QBs - will add more later. Will figure out the current season soon.

Anyway, at minimum, this is a ranking system (T-QB) that shows Bart Starr was a better regular season QB than Jake Delhomme. Crazy as that may sound.

Appreciate any feedback . . .
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It took some research, but I found ESPN's QBR formula

STEP 1: .25*(touchdowns-interceptions) + passing yards/attempts + rushing yards + first downs passed for - fumbles

STEP 2: Divide the total from step 1 by the total from step 1

STEP 3: Multiply the result of step 2 by an arbitrary number between 1 and 100 picked by ESPN and based on how much you like the player and want hit to score.


(I know I posted this once before, but everyone must have missed it Smiler )

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