NFL Adjusted Strength of Schedule for 2012

titmfatiedNo Code

quote:

NFL Adjusted Strength of Schedule
espn.go.com/blog/nfcnorth
By Kevin Seifert

...adjusted strength of schedule removes each team's head-to-head result from the combined winning percentage of its opponents.

Rank 	Team 	Win pct.    W-L-T 	Adjusted Win pct.
1. 	Lions 	  .566 	  144-110-2 	.554
2. 	Cardinals .559 	  141-111-4 	.550
3. 	Rams 	  .539 	  137-117-2 	.540
4. 	Vikings   .520 	  132-122-2 	.529
5. 	Giants 	  .521 	  133-122-1 	.527
6. 	Cowboys   .523 	  134-122-0 	.525
7. 	Packers   .508 	  129-125-2 	.521
	Bears 	  .512 	  130-124-2 	.521
9. 	Saints 	  .521 	  133-122-1 	.519
	49ers 	  .504 	  128-126-2 	.519
11. 	Jaguars   .539 	  138-118-0 	.517
12. 	Seahawks  .504 	  127-125-4 	.517
13. 	Panthers  .516 	  132-124-0 	.513
	Texans 	  .496 	  127-129-0 	.513
15. 	Patriots  .496 	  126-128-2 	.513
16. 	Titans 	  .512 	  131-125-0 	.504
	Ravens 	  .496 	  127-129-0 	.504
18. 	Jets 	  .512 	  130-124-2 	.504
19. 	Redskins  .494 	  126-129-1 	.502
20. 	Buccaneers.502 	  128-127-1 	.498
21. 	Browns 	  .508 	  130-126-0 	.496
22. 	Dolphins  .500 	  127-127-2 	.496
23. 	Chiefs 	  .516 	  132-124-0 	.492
	Eagles 	  .508 	  130-126-0 	.492
25. 	Broncos   .457 	  117-139-0 	.475
26. 	Bills 	  .480 	  122-132-2 	.471
27. 	Steelers  .465 	  119-137-0 	.463
28. 	Raiders   .469 	  120-136-0 	.450
	Chargers  .457 	  117-139-0 	.450
	Colts 	  .441 	  113-143-0 	.450
31. 	Bengals   .438 	  112-144-0 	.442
32. 	Falcons   .422 	  108-148-0 	.438

continue

Interesting seeing Atlanta all the way at the bottom.

1/10/134:50 AM

Original Post

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ammoCheese Master

Since Atlanta played the AFC West

, the NFC East

, the Giants

and the Lions

they should be at the bottom. This is why many of the pundints are not sold on them.

Look at their home games where many mediocre teams win easily. They beat the Broncos by 6, Panthers by 2, Raiders by 3, Cowboys by 6 and the Cards by 4. All of those are really eeked out wins for a home team.

1/10/135:37 AM

YATittleMember

Falcons are toast. It won't be pretty Sunday.

1/10/138:06 AM

Red DawnRed Member

We're #2!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

1/10/137:03 PM

Ghost of LambeauMember

I normally don't defend anything having to do with the Bears. But if this holds any water - and that is asking for a lot in Chicago - being #8 and doing as well as the Bears did with all the position problems they had, there was no need to fire Lovie. Just saying .....

1/10/137:13 PM

PackLandVAMember

2-6 against winning teams (and one of those was Luck's first NFL game)

7-0 against teams sub-.500

1-0 against .550 team

And they missed the playoffs 5 of the last 6 years. The year they got in, they lost at home to the Packers.

It's the totality that got him fired, not the adjusted strength of schedule.

1/10/139:26 PM

"We"-Ka-BongYou ungrateful biscuit eating son of a bitch

NFL also got a new conditioning coach

1/10/139:29 PM

HenryYou rang?

quote:
Originally posted by Red Dawn:
We're #2!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That's like someone handing you a bandaid after 3rd degree burns over 90% of your body.

1/10/139:34 PM

BorisPerson Man Camera Dildo Shop - NFLFU®

Vikings kick a last second FG in week #17 & Lovie gets fired. If Packers win then Lovie is safe?

I guess we'll see what A town is made of. I might be the only 1 Picking them.

1/10/139:55 PM

PackLandVAMember

I think Lovie would've only been safe if the Bears made the playoffs because it would've been tough for Emery to justify firing a coach who made the playoffs.

There was quite a bit of talk locally (radio/tv/print) after the Packers loss as to how Lovie could keep his job. And most speculated only a playoff appearance would do it. I really think Emery was just looking for a way out, and missing the playoffs was it.

1/10/1310:29 PM

bdplantMember

I don't think Lovie should have been fired either.

I think the Lions would be wise to extend Schwartz sooner rather than later.

Last year I thought the same about Frazier. But the more I think about it, the more I believe that he may not be the long term solution for Minny. Big mistake firing Kick Ass.

1/10/1310:55 PM

trumpMember

i see what you did there ...

1/10/1311:40 PM

CoachAt the head of the table

quote:
Originally posted by Boris:
Vikings kick a last second FG in week #17 & Lovie gets fired. If Packers win then Lovie is safe?

I honestly think that Lovie would have kept his job if the Bores had made the playoffs. Unintended consequence of losing.

quote:

I guess we'll see what A town is made of. I might be the only 1 Picking them.

Nope. I think they should win unless they show they can't handle the read option at all, or have multiple turnovers..

1/11/131:07 AM

Grave DiggerMember

I misread the title of this topic. I thought it said the NFL Adjusted Strength Schedule, as in the strength and conditioning schedule. I got excited because I thought this mess of a S&C program that is causing all these injuries and flu bugs would finally get straightened out.

1/11/137:53 AM

GBFanForLifeLarge Member

I don't think Lovie should have been fired either. But it is only because I wanted him to get a lifetime contract.

1/11/138:11 AM

IL_Pack_FanMember

The local scuttlebutt is that Emery started his coaching search well before the season ended. Rarely to new GMs let the old coach hang around, and I think it was getting pretty obvious that Lovie's ceiling was the occasional divisional round appearance.

That said, I can't imagine it would have been too easy to bring someone in after you just canned a guy that made the playoffs. But as PackLandVA pointed out, Lovie has made his money against bad teams. I believe he's somewhere around a career .300 against winning teams.

1/11/138:30 AM

GratefulPackMember

quote:
Originally posted by IL_Pack_Fan:
That said, I can't imagine it would have been too easy to bring someone in after you just canned a guy that made the playoffs. But as PackLandVA pointed out, Lovie has made his money against bad teams. I believe he's somewhere around a career .300 against winning teams.

Is there anywhere that you can see coaches records vs winning/losing teams?

I agree about Lovie, I have posted before that his defense is predicated on turnovers and not making mistakes. This allows them to be very good against bad and mediocre teams. Occasionally, they will beat a good team, but usually the better teams don't make as many mistakes.

In addition to this, I think that even though Lovie is defensive minded, having such a pathetic offense all these years finally caught up to him. Its remarkable that after Turner was fired, they couldn't even find a suitable replacement and had to give the job to Martz after they had rejected him initially.

I wonder if they are going to hire an offensive guy to try to capitalize on the Cutler, Marshall, Forte foundation they have their, it looks that way. It'll be interesting then what happens to a defensive that is definitely getting long in the tooth.

1/11/138:48 AM

HerschelMember

PArt of teh reason teh Bears offense has been so bad is because the front office failed to fix their offensive line by adding enough talent to it.

1/11/139:03 AM

GBFanForLifeLarge Member

They need to add 5 guys to the offensive line.

1/11/139:08 AM

FedyaMember

Ted Thompson should show the league how magnanimous he is and give the Bears Jeff Saturday free of charge.

1/11/139:17 AM

ChilliJonI hate the Vikings!

Just got home from a 2 day trip to Atlanta.

To say that that town is feeling a little pressure would be a monumental understatement.

I was in Atlanta in 2010 (January 2011) the weekend of the playoff game.

The difference between how that town felt about that game and what's going on in Atlanta this weekend is striking.

1/11/139:48 AM

IL_Pack_FanMember

quote:
Originally posted by GratefulPack:

Is there anywhere that you can see coaches records vs winning/losing teams?

Not sure if there's a database somewhere (probably), but here's the article I had seen in early December:

quote:
During his career with the Bears, now in his ninth season, Lovie Smith has enjoyed four winning campaigns. At 8-4 this year, he’s on pace to add a fifth. In total, Smith has won 79 of the 140 regular-season games that he’s coached in Chicago and compiled a career winning percentage of .564.

On its surface, that number looks solid. Strong, even. However, when you dig deeper, its blemishes quickly begin to appear. For example, with four games remaining on the schedule in this incomplete 2012 season, Smith has gone 49-15 vs. teams with losing records in his career (a .765 winning percentage) and 11-8 vs. teams with .500 records (.579). He has also posted a 19-38 mark against teams with winning records.

For those scoring at home, that’s a paltry .333 winning percentage in 57 games against his stiffest competition. Those numbers also show that just 40.7 percent of the games that Smith has coached have been against teams with above-average records. That’s a pretty favorable schedule overall.

Just for the record, they would go on to lose to the last two .500+ teams they'd play, dropping Lovie to .333.

It does go on to say that MM is around .450, but I believe .500 is the league average among good teams. That would make sense as they beat up on each other.

1/11/139:53 AM

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