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Heading into training camp at least one site names the New England Patriots as the odds on favorite to win Superbowl 47 at 9/2. Green Bay follows at 6-1, and San Francisco is third at 8-1.

New England and Green Bay seem almost identical in what they're offenses are expected to do, both have defenses just trying to figure it out, and it doesn't surprise me that the odds favor the east coast Patriots. I have no problem with them as numbers 1 and 2.

I am a little surprised at the 9ers at number three. Specifically, with the faith people have in Alex Smith. I'm not sold that he has completely turned the corner, and if he doesn't get a little closer to "elite" status, I like the Steelers, Giants, and maybe even the Eagles more that San Fran. That defense was great last year, but Smith would need to improve on what was a career year, and I dont see Randy Moss making a really big difference.
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quote:
Originally posted by Henry:
People have more faith in their defense and running game would be my guess.

They are getting a lot of hype for Moss and Manningham. I'll need to see it on the field first. Manningham is a good #3 but I don't think he'll be more than a decent #2. Moss is Moss, he's going to play when he wants to play. Maybe Harbaugh can coax a decent effort out of him. I wouldn't bet on it.
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In order to win the Super Bowl the Pats must beat an NFC team.

Yup, but only one of them. And if I was setting a line for one game between the Patriots and a known NFC team, the NFC team would likely be the favorite. But to win the Super Bowl, you have to reach it first, and the Patriots have a much clearer path. The Packers have arguably the toughest division in football, and will have to beat 2 or 3 NFC teams just to reach the Super Bowl. And as last year's playoffs proved, being the better team, does not guarantee victory.

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