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2014 will be TT's 10th draft as GM for the Packers.  As the NFL's strongest proponent of draft-and-develop, I thought it'd be interesting to go back over his draft picks and rank his 10 best and his 10 worst selections.

 

Packers.com conveniently list TT's drafts from 2005-2012, but was not updated to include the 2013 draft class.

 

My own rankings, weighted with where they were selected -

 

10 best:

1. Rodgers

2. Matthews

3. Collins

4. Greg Jennings

5. Sitton

6. Lacy

7. Nelson

8. Finley

9. Cobb

10. Starks

 

 

10 Worst:

1. Justin Harrell

2. Brohm

3. Pat Lee

4. Rouse

5. Hodge

6. McMillian

7. Alex Green

8. Underwood

9. Barbre

10. Coston

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I can't be too hard on Green and Sherrod. Those are two guys that suffered pretty tough injuries, with Sherrod's being particularly brutal. Harrell would even fall into this category to an extent, but he had enough medical red flags heading into the draft that it's fair to blame Ted. Cory Rodgers is bizarre too because he was viewed as the best returner coming out of college that year, then couldn't catch a punt in TC.

 

Hayward had a hell of a rookie season, and if he rebounds from his injury to that form could soon be in contention for that top 10.

I think you have to ignore 5th -7th round picks for worst.  It's a crap shoot down there, so hard to expect much from them.  Also did not consider the injuries: Sherrod, Worthy, Thompson, Murphy, etc.  Harrell was different.  Even healthy, he sucked.  

 

Top 10 best:

1. Rodgers

2. CMIII

3. Collins

4. Nelson

5. Lacy

6. Jennings

7. Cobb

8. Finley

9. Bishop

10. J Jones

 

10 worst

1. Harrell

2. Brohm

3. Lee

4. Hodge

5. Rouse

6. McMillian

7. Cory Rodgers

8. M Underwood

9. A Green

10. A Barbre

10 Best  (I'm looking at price/performance, as it were, mainly)

1.  Rodgers (1st)  Drafting the future with Favre still there with his first pick...

2.  Collins (2nd) Picking a Pro Bowler in the 2nd, ok. From Bethune Cookman?  Wow.

3.  Sitton (4th) Solid OL in the 4th.  Will take that every year.

4.  Nelson (2nd)  With DeSean Jackson on the board.  He's the best.

5.  Cobb (2nd) Hard to place Nelson/Cobb.  I think both are great picks.

6.  Matthews (1st)  Probably should be higher and shouldn't discount for being a 1st.

7.  Jones (3rd)  Great value and results.

8.  Jennings (2nd)  4 WRs on this list.  

9.  Finley (3rd) For as much of a tease he was, still a great value pick.

10.  Murphy (2nd)  Controversial here, but his 1st WR pick, if not for a injury, dude was gonna be a stud.  

 

10 Worst (same judging, can't choose a 5-7 round guy as worst)

1.  Harrell (1st)  Nuff said.

2.  Sherrod (1st)  May be too early, but I don't see him playing another down here.

3.  Lee (2nd)  Needed him to be a player...

4.  Hawk (1st)  Only top 5 pick he's had.  Not getting a bigger impact player hurt.

5.  Brohm (2nd)  Too bad he didn't develop/trade.

6.  Worthy (2nd)  Totally too early I guess, but...

7.  Neal (2nd) see above.  Novarro Bowman went in the 3rd...

8.  Green (3rd)  too much "steal" hype, not enough time on field

9.  Hodge (3rd)  Just sucked.

10.  Rouse (3rd)  Ugh.

Best: None. TT just got lucky with Rodgers. He's really a terrible GM.

 

Worst.

 

1.) A.J. HAWK

2.) A.J. HAWK 

3.) A.J. HAWK

4.) A.J. HAWK

5.) A.J. HAWK

6.) A.J. HAWK

7.) A.J. HAWK

8.) A.J. HAWK

9.) A.J. HAWK

10.) A.J. HAWK

If Bakhtiari can gain some mass and strength without affecting his speed or footwork, he definitely could be one of TT's best draft picks.  I purposefully avoided placing rookies in my top 10 or bottom 10 (other than Lacy) because much of the rating will depend on future development.

 

If not for his struggles in Seattle, Oakland, and Buffalo, I would have also rated Matt Flynn in the top 10.  Right now he is in the next tier of players.

Building on CAPF's price performance approach:

 

Top 10:

1. Rodgers

2. Sitton

3. Nelson

4. Jennings

5. Matthews III

6. Lang

7. Collins (dropped him down because of his career was shortened. Great player, but Pack didn't get the potential productivity as a result)

8. Jones

9. Crosby (slump(s) notwithstanding)

10. Flynn - major reward for such a small investment

 

I think it's telling that most of these are offensive players. Says a lot about the state of the defense today.  I left off Lacy because it's only been one year and he has a reckless running style - who knows what the next 2 or 3 years will look for him.  Cobb and Bulaga were left off because of injuries.  Daniels, with another standout season, should be in the bottom of the top 10.

 

Worst 10:

 

1. Harrell

2. Brohm - just a terrible waste of a 2nd round pick. a terrible reach.

3. Jackson - a WTF pick on an injured, slow RB.  Becoming a reliabley 3rd down blocking back doesn't make up for the price.

4. Lee

5. Colledge - do we really need to relive that?

6. Raji - he had one good year - performance certainly didn't live up to the investment

7. Neal - a misfit for a 3-4.  Invested a 2 in him.  Troubles staying healthy.

8. Rouse - tweener with no position

9. Hodge

10. Green

 

These are mostly 2s and 3s that TT missed on, and mostly all defense.  I put Raji on here because the production just isn't there for a 1.  Tough to field a great D with these kinds of high-round misses.  Hawk doesn't belong on this list, IMO.  If Worthy doesn't show anything next year, he joins this list, but I think DL need 2 years or so to grow into the game. 

 

 

 

Best

 

AR

Matthews

Collins

Only players I view as truly elite that TT's drafted. The others come after in really no particular order.

 

Worst

McMillian

 

The worst picks are the ones where the initial mistake is compounded by a failure to recognize the blunder in a timely manner. 

 

Harrell and Hodge come on the same heading  as medical risk when they were drafted. Hodge is the bigger head stretcher for me, medically he was  done before he ever got out of college. I think his knees were shot, something the team doctors should pick up.

Sometimes a team can catch lighting in a bottle with injured players but a 3rd round pick is a little to high to take a risk.

Spofford had some interesting things to say about that non-move.  It didn't just cost SEA a third rounder, it also cost them an additional conditional pick which turned into a 5th.  TT has picked some pretty good players in the 3rd and 5th rounds.  But another thing that needs to be recognized is the salary it would have cost GB to sign Lynch for that year and then to a new contract the following season (which is what Lynch demanded).  With the contracts later doled out to AR and CM3, they may not have been able to keep him anyway.  Running parallel to this was Starks' emergence in the playoffs and then the SB win. 

 

All things considered, would we rather have a 27yr old Lynch right now or a 23yr old Lacy? 

Last edited by DH13

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