Skip to main content

Splitting this series was huge in terms of confidence for a potential playoff series. If they'd have gotten swept, it would have set them up to think if they got into a series with the Dodgers, that they would have really had no chance.

The big reason the Brewers won these last two games was that their best players (Contreras and Chourio) made plays against a very good team.

The best part about being a Brewers fan right now is that they look to have hit the jackpot on Chourio. He was on fire for the first few games to start the season. In the first 12 games he looked really good. Then he went into a prolonged slump, where I would guess the advanced scouts of other teams figured out what their pitching staffs could exploit in such an inexperienced player. On June 1st, his OPS for the year had dipped to 575. Since June 1st, it's not too much of stretch to say he's played like a top 10 player. Whatever the league did to adjust to him, he's figured out how to adjust. In the last 57 games, he's run up the following stats.

68 for 208 (.327 BA), 12 doubles, 10 home runs, 37 RBI, 9 stolen bases, and 16 walks/HBPs. His OBP is 375, he has a SLG % of roughly 528 for an OPS that is at 900.

Over a full year, that would extrapolate out to 190 hits, 34 doubles, 28 home runs, 103 RBIs, 26 stolen bases.

Even with the prolonged terrible slump in April and May he's on pace for 20 HRs, 70 RBIs, 22 SBs, an OPS of 761, and a WAR of around 3.5.

Last year, the Brewers made the playoffs and towards the end of the season they were in line to start Burnes and Woodruff as their top starters and Wade Miley having started 23 games with a 3.14 ERA. Yelich scored 106 runs.

If I'd have told you that Burnes, Woodruff, and Miley would not pitch a single game for the Brewers in 2024 and that Yelich would play about a third of season, what would your prediction have been for the Brewers record this year? Add to that Devin Williams didn't pitch until August, Abner Uribe was basically lost for the entire year, and that Canha and Carlos Santana left and the other veteran replacement was Rhys Hopkins.

Murphy has to be manager of the year, but he probably won't get any votes.

@Cheezers posted:

Speaking of Yelich - he’s officially done for the year.  Back surgery. Was hoping he might be able to come back and DH but he’s done.

I know he's saying otherwise, but I think he may be done for good as a player who is a positive asset. If the back surgery was going to take care of the problem and have him back to normal for the following season, he'd have had surgery years ago. I think he'll probably come back as a slap hitter and still steal some bases. He may end up being like Brice Turang without the Gold Glove level defense.

I compare him to Don Mattingly. Yelich was the best player in baseball (if not one of the best players in MLB history) for 2 years before the injuries (kneecap which probably exacerbated the pre-existing back issues). Mattingly was the best player in baseball for 3-4 years in the mid-80s until the back injury made him just an average guy with no power.

The differences are that Mattingly played Gold Glove level defense while Yelich is a minus defender (mainly because of his arm strength in the outfield).

@PackerHawk posted:

Check out the odds for NL manager of the year. The race is for 3rd place.

Murph is -370
Shildt is +310

No one else worth mentioning. +2200 or better for the rest of the field.

Thanks. I hadn't looked and just assumed he would get overlooked much like Counsell did for years.

It would be ironic for Counsell never to win it but have Murphy win it in his first year while beating Counsell's big market club in the same division by 10+ games.

Add Reply

Post
×
×
×
×
Link copied to your clipboard.
×