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Pack are -7 and the o/u is 48.  Both numbers are climbing.

Im gonna lock in the over 48 and hope to catch the Giants at +7.5.  Packers are 0-3 vs the spread this year.

Pack 27 - Giants 24.

Last edited by BrainDed

I think they're going to lose, and here's why: they cannot cover elite WRs. It's all set up... OBJ has a bad game against MN, NYG got handled by MIN, short week for NYG, Packers coming off bye, Packers should roll! 

The Packers have given up a 200 yard WR in consecutive games. They're about to face the best one yet. This defense and particularly the secondary are a dumpster fire right now. 

I don't think this team is going to start playing ball until November. Panic will ensue as MIN builds a big lead in the division. Then the real football will be played, and the Packers will make their move. 

I've seen nothing from the Giants this season to think they can beat the Packers at Lambeau. I expect D. Randall to have a very good game. Rodgers will have a better game this week than last week. Perillo shines on 3rd down and goes Bubba Franks with a 1 yard TD catch. Lacy rumbles for 80+. Starks with a couple of nice plays in the screen game.

Taylor goes unmentioned again.

I think GB wins, but in a close game. I think both teams will score points. Eli will put up big numbers and OBJ will light up Randall for a couple of TDs. Until Randall proves he can handle it, he'll have a huge bullseye on him the rest of the year.

In the end, the fact that the Giants pass rush is no longer a strength (4 sacks in 4 games) means that Rodgers should put up big numbers as well. I'll say a 30-27 Packer victory.

Pikes Peak posted:
Boris posted:

I predict....Randall Cobb has his best game of the season.

MM will need to rest him after he gets to 58 yds receiving and 12 yds rushing..he will be dragging.

I'm beginning to worry we've seen peak Randall Cobb. I hope I'm wrong, but stats don't lie. This is a particularly illustrative one. The percent of times in which Cobb is targeted that he gets a first down. If you  

2011 15 first downs in 31 targets (48%)

2012 45/104 (43%)

2013 -missed large portion of the year 18/46 (39%)

2014 71/126 (56%) - this is an amazing number given the volume of targets

2015 42/129 (32%)

2016 6/18 (33%)

 

Prior to 2015 he was 149/307 (49%)

The last 19 games he's 48/147 (33%)

The Packer offense in 2015 not only lost Nelson, but Cobb went from getting 6.5 first downs per game to 3.5 first downs per game with the same number of targets. Was it all Nelson being gone or did Cobb lose a step or two? Other teams seem to cover him with a safety or even a LB at times and he seems to have lost his elusiveness.

Packers 28-17. Pack leads early and NYG comes back after the half. Lacy gets 125 rushing yards. Jordy, DickRod, Cobb and Lacy each score TDs. OBJr gets double teamed and his frustration leads to an Unsportsmanlike conduct penalty which makes him angrier than before and he gets ejected for punching Eli in the head. Rollins and Ha Ha get INTs after the OBJr ejection.

Packers win by 14.  Giants might score a lot due to Packers young secondary, but Packers offense rolls.  They looked good against Detroit,  but I think there was some points left on the field.  Pressure Eli and game will be over.  35-21 Packers. 

MichiganPacker posted: 

Prior to 2015 he was 149/307 (49%)

The last 19 games he's 48/147 (33%)

The Packer offense in 2015 not only lost Nelson, but Cobb went from getting 6.5 first downs per game to 3.5 first downs per game with the same number of targets. Was it all Nelson being gone or did Cobb lose a step or two? Other teams seem to cover him with a safety or even a LB at times and he seems to have lost his elusiveness.

It's still early in the season and there is plenty of time for growth and working out issues but this points to the same issue we had before the draft.  Jordy may return to his #1 form but we've got nothing coming up in the ranks to replace him once his 30's start sinking his legs.  And we've all seen what this O looks like without a #1.  It's why I thought they just might take a WR in RD1 this last May.  They've got a gaggle of #3's and 4's but that's it.  After Adams' rookie year I thought he was next up but that was overly optimistic.  We've had to draft D early for years now and that can't help but start to show on O eventually.  

The Giants look like a very bad team to me thus far.  The Giants have no running game whatsoever, Manning has looked really bad thus far, and their defense has not lived up to the shiny FA expectations.  

This is a game where you'd like to think the Packers dominate given all the stars aligned in their favor.  I could envision a Packers team that is firing on all cylinders getting a 28-7 type lead in the first half, extending that in the 3rd and coasting home.

Realistically, I'm still not sure I know what the Packers are.  I expect the Packers to stop the run.  I don't think that we will ever defend the pass with any consistency.  I KNOW we will allow Giants huge gaping areas in the middle.  I'm not sure that the offense is "on track" like the first half of Detroit, or if it's a mixed bag like the other 5 halfs played thus far.  

I think this will be a 28-24 type game late, in which Green Bay's defense is forced to make a stop late in the game to preserve the win.  As frustrating as Dom Capers D have been, they seem to make these late game stops more often than not.  

Last edited by Timpranillo

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