2024 opponents & Predictions

We play SF a lot.

@DH13 posted:

We play SF a lot.

To be the man.....you gotta BEAT the man

Stylin' and Profilin'

15-2 w/HFA.

The ninth game will be at home unless the NFL sends the Packers to Europe again. 

I think international teams have been set

@Boris posted:

To be the man.....you gotta BEAT the man

Stylin' and Profilin'

MLF can and has beat them in the regular season.  Just not when it matters.

@YooperPackfan posted:

I think international teams have been set

Not yet.

Houston and SF at Lambeau, would be my faves. Stroud vs Love might be the best game of the week, League-wide. It would be so nice to beat SF, handily, at Lambeau!

The Titans aren't all that great of a team but anytime I can get an excuse to run down to Nashville I will take it.

I would imagine the SF game will be a Sunday or Monday game.  I would love to see the Packers throttle them in prime time.

Planning to be in Nashville for that game for sure.

@DH13 posted:

MLF can and has beat them in the regular season.  Just not when it matters.

It matters in the regular season too

So do candy and nuts.

Detoilet looks to have tough schedule next season. They have to go to Dallas, San Fran and Houston.   They also have home games with Seattle,  Rams and Buffalo.   They will be hard pressed to repeat their 2023 record.

I expect the Packers to be back on top of the NFC North at the end of the 2024 season.   

The next time the Niners play GB, I want Bosa to fall on his knees begging for mercy and not relief.

@Fedya posted:

The ninth game will be at home unless the NFL sends the Packers to Europe again. 

And that 9th home game BETTER go to the Green ticket package.

I think it's Gold package this year.

@PackerHawk posted:

And that 9th home game BETTER go to the Green ticket package.

It’s going to the international fans probably

If you scroll down to Divisional Rankings, you'll see who the Mighty Green Bay Packers are playing this season. 2024 will play out differently, but GB is facing lower ranked divisions. The NFC is not strong, let's just fucking take it.

http://sagarin.com/sports/nflsend.htm

NFC North #4
NFC West #5
AFC South # 7
+ our 2nd place peers -  the eagles and saints

.
The first win totals of the season are out, courtesy of DraftKings
The Mighty Green Bay Packers are currently tied for 4th best

Bet on the Pack . They are winning 13 games this year. The fire Joe Barry effect.

It's always amusing to me that these and similar analyses follow popular trends.
There is this perception that the Falcons, for a variety of 'reasons', are going to be a force this year. But, like a bunch of other teams, they're missing the most critical player on offense.
So, now they are going to play as well as teams with older, more established and experienced offenses?
Yeah, the Packers offense (QB WR, TE) isn't old or experienced, but they are proven. And will still be ahead of a lot of other teams... like the Falcons.

God damnit....I wanted the Pack at +9.5

Those pricks....they're winning a minimum 11 games so bet the over.

I won this bet in 2023 plus Packers making playoffs too.

@Boris posted:

God damnit....I wanted the Pack at +9.5

Too much exposure ($$) at  + 9.5, the irrational exuberance is palpable
Vegas will tap into the negative nelly's in WI to balance the ledger at  +10.5

https://www.packers.com/schedule/2024-opponents

Warren Sharp with his 2024 Strength of Schedule graphics

https://www.sharpfootballanaly...trength-of-schedule/

Most websites use last years' W/L records to compile SOS, Sharp uses 2024 win totals for his and its a much more accurate view of opponent strength for the upcoming season

Packers sitting just slightly above average in terms of SOS and Sharp has the Packers with an O/U win total of 10.5,  a 3 game boost from the 2023 predictions

SF & GB right next to each other

If you look at the top left, those are the teams with the cheesiest schedule - they are likely to outperform their O/U numbers; give their fans false hope and then play a tougher schedule next year -  only to take a step back.

Lather, rinse, repeat

The one outlier might be  the Herbert/Harbaugh Chargers, I could see them sustaining success

If in Vegas and willing to bet, use that chart. Steelers on the under.

@YATittle posted:

If in Vegas and willing to bet, use that chart. Steelers on the under.

• Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5

Really?!?!?! Winning 8 games or less?????

Did you already forget they have Bustin Fields?

Who's not starting....unless he beats out Russell Wilson....

Steelers have never had a losing record under Tomlin. 17 seasons. That's pretty impressive

Or old man Wilson gets hurt running around like a chicken with it's head cut off. . 

Denver fans might argue that he played like 'Mike the headless chicken' last year.

@Boris posted:

Who's not starting....unless he beats out Russell Wilson....

Steelers have never had a losing record under Tomlin. 17 seasons. That's pretty impressive

Tough division. Baltimore, Cincy and Cleveland. If neither of the new QB's pan out there could be trouble. But I wouldn't bet on Tomlin being a coach of a losing team.

Bought my four tickets for the Packers at Rams game on stubhub from a season ticket holder. Don't even know the date yet.

From a friend.

Just was watching a clip from Rich Eisen. He said he was told to keep his schedule clear on May 9th…which he assumes is for the schedule release

So we will know 90% of the schedule on the 8th. Got it.

Here's a write-up from Rob Reischel on the Packers 2024 opponents with notes on their 2023 season and offseason moves. Along with the schedule release info, this should give you a nice overview of the Packers 2024 season

https://www.forbes.com/sites/r...nts/?sh=2183660e566e

WEEK 1: vs. PHILADELPHIA (11-6) in São Paulo, Brazil

Sept. 6

2023 recap: The Eagles were 10-1 heading to December and seemed poised to win the NFC for a second straight year. But Philadelphia lost five of its final six regular season games, slipped to second in the NFC North, and lost to Tampa Bay in a Wild Card game.

Offseason moves: Philadelphia signed running back Saquon Barkley, pass rusher Bryce Huff, safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson and linebacker Devin White in free agency. The Eagles then bolstered their secondary in the draft with cornerbacks Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean. Philadelphia’s biggest losses were running back D’Andre Swift and safety Kevin Byard.

Vegas SB odds: + 1600
and Eagles are a slight favorite vs Cowboys for NFC East winner

This is how the Packers did vs the betting line for 2023 - when most of the world was pretty down on GB's chances. They lost some games they shoulda won and pulled off a few upset wins, including vs the Chefs

I suspect it will be a little different in 2024 in terms of being a favorite. My guess is GB will be favored in 12 of 17 match-ups this year

Packers 2023 Splits

• The Packers’ 9-8 record was good enough to make the playoffs last season. They made it to the Divisional round.
  
  
• Green Bay won 50% of the games last season it was favored on the moneyline (3-3).
• The Packers won six, or 54.5%, of the 11 games they played as underdogs last season.
• At home last season, GB was 5-3. On the road, the Packers went 4-5.
  
  
• The Packers were 6-5 in one-possession games and 3-3 in games decided by a field goal or less.

Mike Clay projections for all 32

(See PDF attached)