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@FLPACKER posted:

Picking at #23 our odds of getting an immediate #1 WR are better via Free Agency.

Agreed. I think the only way you get a WR who can be a #1 (or at least have the effect of making defenses dramatically alter their scheme to free up other things) is if you get a guy that can run a sub 4.4 and catch the ball. There aren't many of those guys, and they go top 5-10 if they have that skill set. Run deep and outjump the others guys for the ball

Even WRs that end up as multiple time Pro Bowlers often need a couple of training camps to learn the reads they need to make when they run patterns. It just shows how much most of us don't know about the intricacies of playing WR when MLF talked about how Love's second interception in the playoffs (which looked like a terrible decision) was at least partially due the WR (was it Heath?) running the route at 12 yards rather than 17 which gave the LB the chance to pick it off.

Shrine Bowl practices are underway and most guys there will be day 2/3 picks and there are some interesting ones.

CBs: Zy Alexander (LSU) and O'Donnell Fortune (Cock) are two intriguing guys who can play press.

Shevon Revel measured in and is doing interviews while recovering from a knee injury. He was probably a top-20 pick before that.

OL: Nick Huber (WI) and Joshua Gray (OR St) are also taking snaps at Center. Gray has also played Left Tackle at Oregon State and is a poor-man's Graham Barton.

Last edited by Herschel
@FLPACKER posted:

Picking at #23 our odds of getting an immediate #1 WR are better via Free Agency.

GB doesn't need to get even younger at WR.  Unless it is in addition to a vet.

I wouldn't just limit a search to FA's.  There is another group of players who only have a year or two left on their current contract that could be traded for.

Most of the top guys will be resigned by their teams but not all.  DK Metcalf is a name I've seen internet sources link to GB, FWIW.  But the list is long with big names that I'm sure a few will not resign with their teams.

2026 FA WRs

Other than qb (and this may be debatable) rb and tight end every position can use an upgrade.  That upgrade includes  young guys getting better thru experience and dinged up guys coming back healthy and staying healthy. IMO BPA in every round of the draft and spending wisely for a FA or 2 is the way to go.  

It’s the GB way.

They can say BPA, but in reality position need does come into play. Giutey even alluded to that in his season-ending presser. They typically have a handful of guys who they have rated as similar, and then position need comes into play. He talked about it with the drafting of Jenkins in second round in 2019. Said they had DK Metcalf rated equally. So I would say that for the First Round, positions that would be unlikely are QB, TE, RB, OT, LBer, S. ... I don't see them valuing an interior offensive lineman highly enough to use a First Round pick on , so my best guess is that it will be a CB, Edge, Interior defensive lineman, or WR.

@PackLandVA posted:

I think the Packers are actually good at RT and LT.




Tom is #10 on that graphic, but Walker's pretty average and both guys are in the final year of their rookie contracts. Add in they drafted Jordan Morgan last year and it doesn't look like they're too confident at the position. My guess is their preference is to give Tom a new contract and let Walker test free agency.

Walker is inconsistent.  There are stretches where he's playing at an elite level and then others where he's looking like a late rounder.  Not sure what the deal is with that because he has played well against some elite edge rushers but not others - so the ability is there, just not consistently.  I do not know what the staff thinks of Morgan so far but I could see them taking someone they think could be a starting OT if such a prospect falls to 1RD23.

Gute's draft strategy no doubt will be impacted by who he thinks he can get in FA.  Then again, he drafted a bunch of S's after signing X, probably knowing the entire S room needed to be rebuilt.

There may not be an entire position group he needs to replace this offseason but he does need at least another blue chipper, two with some luck.  As others have suggested, that should be in at least one of the following WR, EDGE, CB, DL.  If I could only pick one it would probably be EDGE or a DL that was elite at pass rush.

Last edited by DH13


Projected by a couple mocks to be a Packer. Recent injury history appears to work in favor of that prediction coming true.

Watching the National practice at lunch. Guys showing out:

Gray Zabel lining up all over the line and looking good in 1v1s

Jonah Monhein all at C so far, looking good, hands are fast.

Josh Connerly looking good at OT. Very fluid.

Jeffrey Bassa LB looks natural in coverage and filling gaps. Some thought maybe he’d move back to safety because he could end up sub-230#, but he looks big enough.

Wyatt Milum looking solid in OG reps.

Tez Johnson is still tiny. Like makes Restrepo look big,tiny.

I was hoping to see Azareye’h Thomas get some reps, but didn’t. Saw three Quincy Riley reps, all feisty, but probably two flags and one was a miscommunication between Restrepo and the QB.

Last edited by Herschel
@Chongo posted:

Oh there's plenty of guys of that size who are capable NFL players...Packers "generally" don't go with ones that short. But they weren't supposed to draft Reed either until they did.

Your key word is "capable." Yes, there are those guys, and they can be gotten in the middle to late rounds. Stars on the Edelman level, not so much. Cobb was near there; Reed may get there, but this past year something didn't click for/with him.

@Fandame posted:

Your key word is "capable." Yes, there are those guys, and they can be gotten in the middle to late rounds. Stars on the Edelman level, not so much. Cobb was near there; Reed may get there, but this past year something didn't click for/with him.

Edelman was a late 7th round draft pick. They threw a dart at the wall and hit.

Reed has been in the league two years...I'll give him another year. Lots of fans were ready to bail on Davante after a crappy year two. But he was a 2nd round as was Reed.

The last "throw a dart and get a star WR" the Packers had was Driver.

@mrtundra posted:

Yes, We saw what a pass rush did for Detroit, vs the vikings. Also, for a while, the vikings pass rush was disruptive against the Lions. Since both those teams are in our division, we can see how a strong pass rush worked against both teams.  Gute's focus, in the Draft and in FA, should be on doing what it takes to win the North. No more of this 1-5 crap. Time to dominate!  Pass rushers have to be at the top of the list, and a speedy, deep threat WR, right behind it.

And a corner who can cover right behind that.

@Pikes Peak posted:

Other than qb (and this may be debatable) rb and tight end every position can use an upgrade.  That upgrade includes  young guys getting better thru experience and dinged up guys coming back healthy and staying healthy. IMO BPA in every round of the draft and spending wisely for a FA or 2 is the way to go.  

It’s the GB way.

It is, but it hasn't been working for a long time now.  Time to end the insanity and change things up a bit.

I only caught a few moments of the American practice but I did see a few reps from who I wanted: Shemar Stewart from Texas A&M. The guy’s an absolute freak, and a Packers type of player. Think Packers era Julius Peppers only bigger and not quite as tall (and of course not as savvy) or a bigger, faster Bryce Paup.

And he’ll most likely be the second guy to go from his own D-line behind Nic Scourton.

The downside is, like Gary, he didn’t put up big stats, but he’s extremely disruptive and moves even better and with more bend at 25# heavier.

Last edited by Herschel
@Chongo posted:

Reed has been in the league two years...I'll give him another year. Lots of fans were ready to bail on Davante after a crappy year two. But he was a 2nd round as was Reed.



I'm going to beat this dead horse to glue do here goes one more time.

Davante didn't simply "suck in his second year".  He showed all the traits and ability you could want as a rookie - he was the best WR on the field vs a DAL team in the playoffs that had Dez Bryant.  Year 2 he was injured and they had nobody else to throw to.

Reed wasn't injured this year, as far as I know.  He can work on eliminating the drops and maybe improve his separation skills a little but by the end of year 2, I think we've seen what he is.  Doesn't mean he won't have a better year 3.

Last edited by DH13

As much as I hate to say this. And lord knows I hate saying it after a decade of monumental failure doing so. GB needs to draft the best CB as they can get as early as they can get him.
GB invested in McKinney. And McKinney disappeared after Jaire went away.
Haffley needs 2 press man corners. It’s what drives his defense. It opens up his ability to get diabolical.
None of the above matters if Love isn’t fully healthy and ready to go week 1. Or if Jaire doesn’t really want to be here.

And Tee Higgins FA signing would work just fine too.

Last edited by ChilliJon

It is, but it hasn't been working for a long time now.  Time to end   insanity and change things up a bit.

Let's see, how do we change things up??        Oh I know,,  I know.     Bring George Allen back from the dead and have him trade every draft pick for an old vet.  That is what he did for years in Washington.   

@Boris posted:

Right.

Let's blow it all up because 67 wins over the last 6 years is certainly "not working for a long time."

It all depends on how you define success. If being competitive is your definition of success, then all is well in GB. If winning championships is the measure of success, we have been a huge failure especially considering the 30ish years of HOF level QB's and the embarrassing playoff choke jobs (especially those when favored at home).  I think MLF and Gute are more than competent, but are they among the best of the best? I think that is the bigger question and being above average probably isn't good enough. They are going on 7 years to right the ship. There are major issues with this roster and they are probably at least two years away at the minimum.

Last edited by 13X

Lots of folks just focus on 40 time when looking at a WR their teams draft.

Route running is way more important, and a better predictor of early success.

It should be noted all these guys are shorter than the Packers "ideal" metric.

Last edited by Chongo

I look at the RAS scores much like the Ivy League schools look at SAT scores. There is a minimum score that someone has to get to be successful there. Their analytics show that if a student has for example sake, a 1400 SAT score (which correlates higher than high school grades do to IQ), with hard work they can be successful. Given that, someone with a 1600 SAT doesn't necessarily have an advantage in admissions. One they meet the minimum, it is then all the other things that come into play that they use in determining success in and outside the classroom. So for the NFL, once a player meets the athletic minimum other things that are (or should be) used are production, competition played against, coach ability, love of the game, attention to technical detail, etc. IMHO, those weren't weighted enough when drafting guys like Van Ness and Walker.

This is the OLB Mel Kiper mocked going to the Packers in R1...he likely didn't realize the Packers are no longer in the market for OLB Edge rushers under Hafley.

While plays like this bring plenty of oohs and aahs, they bring zero value in judging whether or not his skills project into being a first rounder.

He went up against a mammoth OL from Oregon, but he's exponentially quicker. He got the OL off-balance (shitty footwork, not gonna lie) and used momentum to floor the kid. That isn't working against experienced NFL RT.

Marshall lists him at 6'4", 248. He might be 248...I am skeptical he's 6'4"

He's just not long enough for what the Packers need in an edge rusher. They don't need another Brenton Cox or Kinglsey Enagbare...they need a power edge. They need someone for the position they thought they were getting VanNess to fill. They need a long term replacement for Kenny Clark more than an edge IMO.

Last edited by Chongo
@Chongo posted:

This is the OLB Mel Kiper mocked going to the Packers in R1...he likely didn't realize the Packers are no longer in the market for OLB Edge rushers under Hafley.

While plays like this bring plenty of oohs and aahs, they bring zero value in judging whether or not his skills project into being a first rounder.

He went up against a mammoth OL from Oregon, but he's exponentially quicker. He got the OL off-balance (shitty footwork, not gonna lie) and used momentum to floor the kid. That isn't working against experienced NFL RT.

Marshall lists him at 6'4", 248. He might be 248...I am skeptical he's 6'4"

He's just not long enough for what the Packers need in an edge rusher. They don't need another Brenton Cox or Kinglsey Enagbare...they need a power edge. They need someone for the position they thought they were getting VanNess to fill. They need a long term replacement for Kenny Clark more than an edge IMO.

And on the next rep Connerly showed impressive fluidity and shadowed Green perfectly. Green also smoked Arionte Ersery from Minnesota inside, but then so did others because they saw AE kept oversetting.

Josiah Stewart from Michigan is even smaller.

I got to see some coverage snaps at lunch today and really liked Az Thomas’ reps. They matched him up today with Tez Johnson in slot formation to challenge him and he stayed in phase impressively. He’s tailor-made for Hafley’s defense and is only 20-years old. He’s a solid bet for the Packers draft.

Quincy Riley had some very good snaps, as well, with good instincts but a slight lack of recovery speed and maybe a touch of stiffness. My guess is he’ll go around the Packers third-round pick. Not gonna lie, drafting both would be intriguing and overhaul the position.

Jayden Higgins looked good at Receiver. I’m still not sure he’ll time well enough for Gutekunst, but his footwork and release look good.

Gray Zabel looked good again, reminding me a bit of Mike Flanagan. He looks a bit lanky inside, but just gets it done against all comers. He had a couple of iffy shotgun snaps that were the only downside.

Jonah Monheim looked good again, as well. He got some snaps at guard, including with Zabel at Center in team.

@YATittle posted:

My only disagreement is this: He hit some weird RAS abnormalities.

Jahmyr Gibbs: 8.06 (lower because slightly under size threshold)

Garret Wilson: 7.77 (lower because slightly under size threshold)

CeeDee Lamb: 7.44 (crappy bench press tanked his score)

Their scores dropped due to cut-offs they barely missed or, in Lamb's case, an irrelevant test and didn't have elite speed or trait to offset. They also went well before the Packers’ picks.

Of course Savage's score also took a big hit due to his height, even though he had elite speed, etc.

Last edited by Herschel

Zabel looked very good, great at guard lined up beside Jonah Mondheim.

Riley was feisty, but doesn’t have good deep speed and doesn’t have the smoothest hips. He measured just over 5’10” at the Senior Bowl, well under his 6’ listing at Louisville. He’ll also be 24 before training camp, so those knocks will likely push him down well into day two. He reminds me of a smaller Mike McKenzie. I’d love to see the Packers get Azareye’h Thomas and Riley as a tandem. Thomas is a little bigger and faster than Renardo Green was, though Green was more developed, in part being three years older at draft time.

Stewart and Alexander are typical Gutekunst first-rounders: freakish traits with some questions about college production.

Last edited by Herschel

Getting an immediate "difference maker" outside of the first 10 picks is rare. If we could get three starters, as we did this year, I'd be elated. However, CB and interior offensive line may be the only positions where it could happen. WR could get maybe a 40-50 catch guy, and defensive front could get a rotational guy. That is why I'd love to see a WR and Edge that would be our best at that position group, gotten in Free Agency.

Since the League started moving the draft to different cities, I think it's natural to assume that the host team wants to be in front of the crowd as often as possible.

But, when the rubber meets the road, Gutey will do the best he can with what he has to work with.
I would imagine he and staff are at least a week ahead of everyone else at this point.

Highly Doubtful, unless Gutekunst changes his criteria. Green had to bulk up to 251# for the Senior Bowl weigh in, but played around 235#.  Even in the 3-4 Gutekunst preferred bigger edge guys over 265#, such as Preston, Z’Darius, Gary and Van Ness. Shemar Stewart is a better bet, for example.

He’ll stray with UDFAs or late picks, like Cox, and Enagbare falls just shy, but his prime resources he seems to stick very close to his desired traits.

Last edited by Herschel

Right now we have 46 players under contract for next season, which I believe is the most at this time in recent memory. Given that there are going to be some additions / subtractions, it would appear that there isn't going to be room for all 8 draft picks to make the team. This seems like a great year for Gutey to use some picks to either move up in the draft, or acquire some vets via trading picks.  

@FLPACKER posted:

Right now we have 46 players under contract for next season, which I believe is the most at this time in recent memory. Given that there are going to be some additions / subtractions, it would appear that there isn't going to be room for all 8 draft picks to make the team. This seems like a great year for Gutey to use some picks to either move up in the draft, or acquire some vets via trading picks.  

People have been saying that for a few years, but that’s overvaluing the chum at the bottom of the roster. There’s also the practice squad of churnable guys. His MO is to churn and it would be somewhat surprising to see that change now, especially with the draft in Green Bay to reinforce that practice.

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