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@YATittle posted:

I like Brandt but that's a lazy article. He surely has access to all the premium NFL databases, and could research contract by contract, year by year, and do some basic analysis rather than *shrug* and declare a mystery, so really what is anyone supposed to take away this?

It's weird throwing Stafford and Rodgers in there. With Stafford the most money once they're on a 'real money' contract. Seems like it would be pretty natural to include Manning and Brees but... nah why bother.

Obviously, we've all seen salary inflation in the NFL. You look at Brady's deals starting in '05, Rodgers in '09, and Stafford in '13, and shockingly the average value of the contracts ascends in the same order. The NFL's highest player, by some metric or another, seems to always be whichever top 5-ish QB most recently got his contract redone.

For that matter, yeah Brady was a late draft pick, and despite the Super Bowls he did not have amazing numbers. Good numbers, but he was a top 10 guy. Not a top 5 guy. That makes a difference for that contract. Sure, he won Super Bowls, or maybe better stated he was a key component of multiple Super Bowl winning teams, but that only counts for so much. Ultimately you evaluate a player's contracts based on their play, not overall team success. It's not like "Hey we won the Super Bowl, I guess everybody was just awesome and all 53 of you got a big raise coming!"

2007 is when he had the transcendent undefeated save-for-those-cursed-New-York-Giants season. Trying to find his contracts from around that time, as I don't remember all of Rodgers' extension let alone Tom Fucking Brady's, but in 2010:

PFT - 2010 Tom Brady Extension

Oh look at that he got highest paid in the NFL status the very contract after his 2 best seasons. What a shock.

The comments there are kind of funny, my favorite:

BorisBulldog says:

They’re obviously paying Brady for the 3 SB’s he helped NE win 5+ years ago becuase NE won’t sniff another SB while he’s collecting his $16MM+ per year!

The "you can't win a Super Bowl giving a player more than 13.8% of the cap" of the time! Yup, totally can't do it, until someone does and you just shift that percentage to whatever the new "you can't do that" line becomes.

So what does it all mean as far as why Brady signed the deals he did? I don't know, you guys aren't paying me enough to figure that out. But the fact is that Brady made more money in the NFL than literally every other player to play the game. And yeah Rodgers will pass him. And Mahomes will pass him, and eventually we'll all laugh when we remember when QBs played for less than 100 million a year as some quaint wholesome era in the NFL when football was still football and and lament the loss of our incompetent/corrupt human officals that get replaced by sentient AI controlled by a cabal of Vegas bookies and gangsters.

The point being after winning 3 Super Bowls with good but not top tier stats he got an extension that didn't match Manning's pay, and then after losing his Super Bowl on that next contract he became the highest paid player in the league ahead of Manning at least briefly (their per year earnings on those contracts was essentially the same). Because he stepped up his play.

Just an observation I hope is worth mentioning:
QB contracts are highly influenced by timing (when they are signed).

A team could have a 'star' QB under contract, playing well, and they win a SB. They may want to offer an extension and make him the highest-paid QB in the league. But, in the meantime, there are teams (ex: Vikings) that sign a QB to a ridiculous contract, grossly over-paying, and the market is whored. So, their guy could've been the highest paid at $30M/year, but now they have to pay $35M/year to do that.
I don't see that as a reward, necessarily. It's just paying market price.




The Tampa Bay Buccaneers remain open to the possibility of retired Tom Brady returning to play for them in 2022, but if the quarterback wants to play elsewhere this season, they won’t be facilitating such a move.

Speaking to the media Tuesday at the NFL scouting combine, Buccaneers head coach Bruce Arians was asked whether the team would accommodate Brady if he wanted to be dealt to another team this offseason, and his answer was clear.

“Nope,” Arians said. “Bad business.”

Arians was later asked what it would take for another team to make it worth Tampa Bay’s while to move Brady.

https://www.usatoday.com/story...rs-trade/6980385001/

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