@Tschmack posted:The issue wasn’t Young. The issue was allowing Collins and Capela to get a bunch of rebounds and easily put backs or dunks and also not make them work hard on the defensive end.
Portis looked good early on but Bud does what he does. The drop defense against a player like Young is idiotic.
The drop defense is predicated on the fact that opposing teams' analytics department train their players to shoot 3s or get to the rim. This is true even down to high school. Thus, players don't practice those midrange shots and especially not running floaters. When you run into a guy that is good at those types of shots, the defense falls apart. Young is outstanding at those runners - he's too small to bother trying to get to the rim, so he has to shoot those. He's actually not a very good 3-point shooter - he's 34% for his career, but he does take a high volume. He prefers those runners to anything else and that's what the drop, especially with Lopez, tries to force the offense to take. Just to bring up the obvious, but the best combination of 3-point shooting and running one-handers in league history might be James Harden. If Harden is healthy, the Bucks probably get swept. He and Durant would have just taken turns against the drop and Durant wouldn't have gotten worn down.
You could argue that running into elite mid-range guys ended the last two playoff runs: Kawhi in 2018 and Butler last year. Giannis shut down Butler this year after Bud remembered that Giannis might be the best player in the league to guard guys like Kawhi and Butler. Giannis will struggle on Young just like Ben Simmons did, and they'll just keep running the same play to get Lopez running backwards against him.
I may regret this prediction, but I still think the Bucks win this series if they win Game 2. The problem is that if they can get by the Hawks, one of the best pick-and-roll mid-range guys in history is probably awaiting them. I think the Bucks will beat the Hawks, but lose to the Suns because Chris Paul will go off.