I've created a live sheet that will provide you the records the other teams in the division would need to hit in order to tie Milwaukee. GB column uses win column just to ease the automation of it. For example - If Milwaukee can go 27-26 from here on out, Cincy would need to go 35-19, STL 39-16, etc
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Good stuff⦠but all gas, no brakes!
Get to 95 wins and it's ours. Going 30-23(. 566)
Getting 90 wins probably does it too but leaves an opening if Reds got hot. That would mean crew goes 2 games under 500 from here on.
Im starting to look closer at what's going on in the NL West too. We're right there for top seed
So serious question - do the Brewers shoot for the #2 seed?
#1 seed hosts the winner of the wild card round right? So more than likely the wild card will be 2 teams from NL West. If say, the Giants are the #1 seed they would host the winner of the Dodgers/Padres while the Brewers would host the NL East winner.
A path to the WS through only 1 of the NL West teams would be easier than 2 of them.
I normally am all about just win the games and let the standings fall where they may, but hosting the Mets would be better than hosting the winner of Dodgers/Padres.
You shoot for winning the division
You shoot for the highest seed you can get
Once that seed is locked, you rest guys until the playoffs.
In theory the #2 seed would be ideal, but if you were tied for the 1 seed with no shot of being less than 2 seed with like a week to go, I don't think you'd sit guys...
Thatβs my thinking as well. Donβt take your foot off the gas because that approach has worked up to this point.
Sometimes the matchups today will look different than they could two months from now and the NL East is totally up for grabs anyway and it might not be the Mets as division winner.
The only team I would want to avoid is the Dodgers but letβs say the LAD beats SD in the wild card round and the Brewers do get the 1 seed. The divisional series is 5 games v 7 in NLCS. I would give Milwaukee a punchers chance given their starting pitching and closing pitching. In a shorter series the Brewers pitching could carry them because the back end rotation guys wonβt get many innings.
You get the 1 seed if you have the chance. Your eyes need to be on the NL pennant, and the NLCS tilts in your favor with HFA.
The last time the Brewers were in the NLCS, they blew the NL pennant at home because their pitching didnβt hold up. With this staff, HFA will be a bigger advantage.
You play to win the game
Herm Edwards
If you play to lose, you shouldn't be playing.
Some amazing old timey wisdom in this thread. I'm tweeting it all to wisen up those damn millennials,.
'Choke up and make contact!
POUND. THE. ZONE.
Cards at home up 4-2 heading to top of 8th with Braves coming up.
Giovanny Gallegos enters the game for the Cards
- Ground Out
- Fly Out
- 1B
- HR
- 2B
Alex Reyes comes in for Cards
- HBP
- BB
- BB (walks in a run)
- BB (walks in a run)
- BB (walks in a run)
Jason Miller comes in, finally
- BB (walks in a run after starting 0-2 with batter then throwing 4 straight balls)
- Freddie Freeman swings at first pitch and flies out. WUT FREDDIE?
Alex Reyes line tonight: 5 batters, 1 HBP, 4 BB, 21 pitches total, 4 strikes.
Cards go 1-2-3 in bottom of 8th. Heading to the ninth, 8-4 Braves after scoring 6 runs after 2 were out and the final 4 all walked in, in the 8th.
It's always a horse race for me of what team I get more enjoyment seeing lose - the Cards, the Cubs, or the Bears. I mean it's the Bears but some seasons it's close...
The legend of Rowdyβ¦
Reds have gotten hot and won 8 of 10β¦β¦.and gained zero games on the Brewers in that stretch.
Crew is 8-2 since players started hitting the Covid IL.
Reds are within 5 but currently losing to CLE tonight
Brewers rained out but gain a 1/2 game as the Indians (Gaurdians) beat the Reds.
Cubs? Who plays for them anymore? Rizzo, Bryant, Kimbrel, Baez gone. Modern baseball sucks.
Contreras and Happ are the only position players I could name off the top of my head.
Brewer bang 3 longballs and that is all Freddy needs, and game 2 they put enough pitcher out there to stretch it out long enough to wait for the offense to hit a few where they ainβt. 6 run 5th and itβs 6-1 in the 6th.
Back up to 7
Chitcago has some major work to do. Enjoy the cellar for the next several years!
You knew being in the cellar was in the future for the Cubs when they got rid of Rizzo, Baez and Bryant; Three stars from their World Series team. It looks like it's rebuilding time in Chicago. GO BREWERS!!!
@Cheezers posted:So serious question - do the Brewers shoot for the #2 seed?
#1 seed hosts the winner of the wild card round right? So more than likely the wild card will be 2 teams from NL West. If say, the Giants are the #1 seed they would host the winner of the Dodgers/Padres while the Brewers would host the NL East winner.
A path to the WS through only 1 of the NL West teams would be easier than 2 of them.
I normally am all about just win the games and let the standings fall where they may, but hosting the Mets would be better than hosting the winner of Dodgers/Padres.
Never play to lose! All gas, No brakes! Settle for the MLB World Series Championship, nothing less! Let those other teams fall where they will. We will need to beat 2 solid teams, at some point, anyway. Might as well get it done with the Brewers at the #1 seed.
Nice DH sweep yesterday! Cubs have become like the Pirates - these are games that the Brewers need to win.
And yeah since I posted my thoughts about #1 vs #2 seed things are definitely different! I agree to just win baby. Mets are no longer in 1st (or 2nd) in the East, and the Reds are closing in on the Padres for the #2 wild card spot.
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Jason Heyward can stay a cub or cardinal forever
Burnes dealing but it doesnβt matter when itβs 7-0 after a half inningβ¦
Burnes struck out 10 in a row tonight!!!! Ties MLB record!!!
I know he wonβt pitch the whole game, but this has got to be one of the top 2 or 3 Brewer pitching performances ever.
@Blair Kiel posted:I know he wonβt pitch the whole game, but this has got to be one of the top 2 or 3 Brewer pitching performances ever.
It's up there with the 18 strikeout/1 walk/3 hit Sheets masterpiece in 2004.
https://www.baseball-reference...L/MIL200405160.shtml
They are both better than the Nieves no-hitter (5 walks).
https://www.baseball-almanac.c...score/04151987.shtml
Higuera had a 1-hit shutout in 1987 that's up there too.
You should do research for a living.
Braves Albies hits 11th inning walkoff vs Redsβ¦8 game lead!
How soon before we start talking about magic numbers?
And finally, the real story of the night. The #Brewers are now an even 197-197 all time against the Cubs, including 12-3 this season. The Crew has now won all five series vs. Chicago this season and 8 consecutive games.
β Mike Vassallo (@MikeVassallo13) August 12, 2021
similar to the Packers-Bears series? last few years weve really made up ground
with an 8 game lead and 47 to play, if the Crew goes .500 (well 24-23) Reds would have to go 32-15 to tie
Mark it 8 dude!
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Tracker continues to be updated. Brewers have gained ground on everyone in the division since I started it end of play 8/2
+.5 on CIN
+1 on STL
+4.5 on CHC
+4 on PIT
Next 4 games are finishing up series in Chicago and then heading to PIT for 3 to wrap up the season series with them. Taking 3/4 would be great...
Key division storylines
STL and CIN both have lots of opportunity to clean up vs the dregs of the division as they each have 15 games total left vs CHC/PIT
STL has 34 of remaining 57 within division, and of that, 13 vs Milwaukee.
Keep winning series.
ESPN doesnt have percentages up for playoffs but Id put division at > 90% chance
probably put our wild card chances at almost zero. if we played poorly enough for Cincy to catch us, no way wed be within a shot of the other 2 West teams
On Fangraphs Milwaukee is 96.2% for division, 1.5% for Wild Card, and 97.7% to make playoffs.
White Sox (99.9%) only team with higher percentage to win their division right now.
White Sox(99.9%), Giants(99.4%), and Dodgers(99.7%) only teams with higher percentage to make playoffs