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@DH13 posted:

I don't know about the MIN/DET game but it can also depend on the officiating crew you're dealt.  Some of them, especially in big games will let a lot of DB contact go while others throw a lot more flags.

I understand the realism behind this, but I would not even bother telling my team about the refs. Once you start thinking about who a ref is and how to play your guy according to how it might be reffed, you've lost. For example, I think Campbell just has his guys play tough and physical and dares the refs to call something against them. And if the refs do call whatever, his guys don't let it bother them; they just go back and play the same way. Of course, they're smart enough to realize that there's a line where it will be called by a ref, but they go right up to that line again and again and dare a ref to call it.

And nonetheless the games are affected by those refs.  We've seen plenty of games in the last 5 years, usually in the playoffs, where refs aren't calling illegal contact or PI in situations where we've seen it called all year.  We've seen defenses do that against our receivers going back to 2011 vs KC.  The issue is amplified when you're going against an elite WR group like MIN's where if you can't get physical with them, they're going to get separation and catch the ball.

But that wasn't the only reason DET beat MIN.  BJ also schemed over around and through Flores, putting more pressure on MIN to throw, making it easier to rush Darnold.  Which also stifled their passing game.

Here are the ref assignments for the Wild Card game.  Don't remember what kind of game Allen calls. And I know they use the best graded refs for the playoffs but it seems strange to have only 2 refs that has worked with Allen for the season.

R122Brad Allen11Pembroke Statenonprofit CEO
U20Barry Anderson18TorbertNorth Carolina Statebuilder/developer
DJ53Sarah Thomas10AllenMobilesales representative
LJ85Daniel Gallagher5(swing)Kent Stateathletic programs manager
FJ15Rick Patterson29AllenWoffordbanker
SJ104Dale Shaw12EckAlleghenypharmaceutical sales
BJ119Greg Wilson17MartinUSCretired police officer
ROMike Wimmer22SmithNYUproducer
RALarry Hill Jr.5SmithHamptonjudge
ALTRScott Novak11Phoenixsales manager
ALTUScott Campbell2BlakemanCalifornia-Davisfirefighter
ALTDJMike Carr8CheffersWisconsinathletic director
ALTSJDave Hawkshaw6MartinJustice Institute of British Columbiafirefighter, former CFL official
ALTBJGreg Steed22HillHowardcomputer systems analyst

Two guesses why Hafley wasn't happy given what happened before that play: X changed what the coverage should have been, or Hafley talked to an assistant on the sideline during the TO who did not relay the correct call.

Reasoning: it looked like when they first saw the three-receiver stack they weren't sure what to do and how to cover. X was hurridly yelling and motioning to the safeties and DBs about where to be. GB called TO to get the D set (not a bad move considering they were all over the place and panicked). When they returned, Chicago still had the three-receiver stack and GB looked to be in the same formation (wrong call), albeit better positioned. So, coming out of the TO, they were properly set, but apparently not in the correct formation. Given that, I would say that whoever was supposed to make the call -- assistant talking to the players or X given what he saw on the field -- blew it. Hafley isn't the type to toss guys under the bus -- none of the GB staff is, really -- so he had to be plenty hot about it.

@Boris posted:

Who cares.....that loss vs. the Bears is 100% on MLF. If he runs the clock down or lets Bears use their final timeout, they never get in position to win it. PERIOD!

THE NFL is geared towards offense. Defense is at a huge disadvantage all game long. 100% on MLF 100%

I don't necessarily disagree, but once you're put in that position you better be ready to take care of it. Each part of a team has to make up for the others' mistakes. ST gives up a stupid TD, the O has to score to stay even; the O fails to score to put a game away, the D better come up with a stop; the D fails to stop, the O needs to match or move ahead. If one phase fails, the others have to cover.

@DH13 posted:

Hand on the ground vs standing up.  The reads and angles are different because their roles slightly differ in who/what they are responsible for.  OLB have more space to deal with when attacking the blocker.  The DE is usually at contact right out of his stance.  Google will be more helpful than me.

But regardless of the reason, it happens that guys don't translate from one to the other.  I don't think it's as big an issue today as it used to be because so many defenses now use concepts from both schemes.  I'm harping on it more out of giving our guys the benefit of the doubt because Gary was wrecking offenses before the injury and before Hafley.

While true, LVN and Gary are actually pretty shitty fits for a 3-4 and more suited for a 4-3.

@Boris posted:

Who cares.....that loss vs. the Bears is 100% on MLF. If he runs the clock down or lets Bears use their final timeout, they never get in position to win it. PERIOD!

THE NFL is geared towards offense. Defense is at a huge disadvantage all game long. 100% on MLF 100%

could be MLF was thinking if the kicker missed the field goal (we were all thinking it) then he would still have time to stop them for one last hail mary chance.

@Floridarob posted:

could be MLF was thinking if the kicker missed the field goal (we were all thinking it) then he would still have time to stop them for one last hail mary chance.

Except with under a minute left you need to have all three timeouts left for it make a difference. If you assume each running play will take at least 5 seconds off the clock and you have two timeouts,  and then they can run 40 seconds off after the third, you would end up with 3 seconds left.

They got two plays off in the first 44 seconds. He was operating under the assumption they'd pick up at least one first down and be able to try a FG from about the 25 or 30.

This was the sequence:

FIELD GOAL4 PLAYS, 6 YARDS, 0:55
CHI21
GB22
  • 1st & 10 at CHI 43

    (1:49 - 4th) (Shotgun) M.Willis pass short left to M.Heath to CHI 37 for 6 yards (K.Gordon).
  • 2nd & 4 at CHI 37

    (1:31 - 4th) (No Huddle, Shotgun) Em.Wilson up the middle to CHI 35 for 2 yards (D.Walker; B.Cowart).
  • 3rd & 2 at CHI 35

    (1:05 - 4th) (No Huddle) Em.Wilson up the middle to CHI 37 for -2 yards (D.Walker, T.Edmunds).
  • 4th & 4 at CHI 37

    (0:58 - 4th) Timeout #1 by GB at 00:58.
  • 4th & 4 at CHI 37

    (0:54 - 4th) B.McManus 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.


I think the problem was that he hadn't thought at all about what he was going to do if he didn't make the first down on either 2nd or 3rd down. He ran Wilson up the middle twice. If he knew he was going to try a FG from the 37 and he was already at the 35 on 3rd down, then he should have called a play that would have resulted in either a first down or at worst an incompletion to stop the clock (or at worst tell Willis to throw the ball out of bounds over a receiver's head to stop the clock if no one was open. If they zero blitz, to a hot read. The worst thing he could do was the run the ball and not pick up the first down, which is what happens.

If the 3rd down play ends with an incompletion, you have 58 seconds left and three timeouts. You try the FG. If you miss, you have 54 seconds left and three timeouts. If the Bears run 3 plays and force you to take your timeouts, you probably get the ball back at about your own 20 with 30 seconds left.

One you are down to two timeouts, they run three plays and run the clock down to well under 10 seconds even before they punt. If they punt the ball in the air out of bounds (or have Williams drop back and throw it as far as he can if there are less than 5 seconds) the game is over.

Basically, he completely botched the entire situation on almost every level.



@Herschel posted:

While true, LVN and Gary are actually pretty shitty fits for a 3-4 and more suited for a 4-3.

Gary's performance says otherwise.  While he was playing more of that role in college, he reshaped himself and pre-injury was approaching an all pro level.  he may have peaked vs SF in AR's last playoff game in GB.  I don't know if it's the scheme, his post-injury knee or being maxed out as a player.  But he was definitely better in the 3-4 than he has been this year.

LVN looks more like a DE, probably elephant.  But he looks like the D equivalent of Watson his first couple years.  An elite athlete trying to play a very specialized professional sport without the required skills. 

I personally I am happy they hired him at DC.  For the first time in a LONG time I actually feel great about where the defense is headed.  Hafley has them in a good spot in spite of the limitations he has in personnel right now. 

I think getting him better personnel and look out for what he can do and I am very excited about the future.

It was nice to see everyone on the all-22 knowing where to go and who to cover without hesitation. While the DL didn't get home, it did keep Hurts in the pocket and worked it. Hurts had a lot of time (the unfortunate part), but nowhere to go easily. Hafley's D looks like a zone, but then guys start picking up the WRs pretty quickly.

Hafley has done a good job and I'd give him even more credit if he found a way to add some pressure on the QB.

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