Taking a look From Behind Enemy Lines...Right Frankie?
https://www.arrowheadpride.com...ers-are-questionable
And Frankie....here's your chance to get tickets to the game.
oldschool posted:BrainDed posted:TouchdownWhitewaterJesus posted:R MaN posted:Packers are 4.5 favorites
Betting lines are used to do one thing, bring in bets.
Sure.. and the ultimate goal that bringing the bets works toward is making money for the Casino. Therefore it behooves the casino to place a number that will draw equal action on both sides (They win regardless of outcome because they collect the juice or vig, typically 10%). In other words, an accurate number.
That is not really true either...the casino's in effect shade it toward placing their own bets...because they have the best numbers in the business...so they do not try to balance so much as they shade it toward house advantage long term.
They leave way way too much money on the table only taking a 50/50 vig...and this is why some lines don't make sense to Joe Six pack
This could not be more inaccurate. The casino has no interest in “placing their own bet.” They are playing a different game. A game called math.
BrainDed posted:oldschool posted:BrainDed posted:TouchdownWhitewaterJesus posted:R MaN posted:Packers are 4.5 favorites
Betting lines are used to do one thing, bring in bets.
Sure.. and the ultimate goal that bringing the bets works toward is making money for the Casino. Therefore it behooves the casino to place a number that will draw equal action on both sides (They win regardless of outcome because they collect the juice or vig, typically 10%). In other words, an accurate number.
That is not really true either...the casino's in effect shade it toward placing their own bets...because they have the best numbers in the business...so they do not try to balance so much as they shade it toward house advantage long term.
They leave way way too much money on the table only taking a 50/50 vig...and this is why some lines don't make sense to Joe Six pack
This could not be more inaccurate. The casino has no interest in “placing their own bet.” They are playing a different game. A game called math.
Exactly...and math dictates when you have a house advantage with Billions of revenue....of course you use it.
Do you honestly think the Vegas books would turn their back on Billions of dollars of profit...using their long term house advantage on shading NFL lines to what they KNOW is the real number played long term?
And do you really think a Vegas book can just lay off big money imbalances to balance their books?
To whom? They are all in the same business.
If you know what goes on inside the Vegas books...you know that they do indeed place their bets too. We are talking long term house advantages of 51-55% and they don't have to pay vig!
Lol.. long term house advantage. They have no interest in gambling my man. They have an interest in creating can’t lose scenarios.
Its no different than the poker table. They create the opportunity for others to gamble so that they can take a percentage. That’s it, anything else is tin foil hat territory.
The nitwits with the braids must be losing their minds over this injury report. SOOO many unfair advantages. Hope the #GBRefs are there Sunday!
I lost a few IQ points this morning reading the low football knowledge Rube Chat forum -- good God. That place is the LaBrea tar pits of football forums.
The Packers are considering a change at kick/punt returner for Sunday at Kansas City, per to sources.
— Rob Demovsky (@RobDemovsky) October 26, 2019
One possibility is to re-sign Tremon Smith, who was claimed off waivers from the Chiefs on Sept. 17 and played in 3 games before he was released.... https://t.co/kFoICTS3cd
Shepherd to the PS?
michiganjoe posted:The Packers are considering a change at kick/punt returner for Sunday at Kansas City, per to sources.
— Rob Demovsky (@RobDemovsky) October 26, 2019
One possibility is to re-sign Tremon Smith, who was claimed off waivers from the Chiefs on Sept. 17 and played in 3 games before he was released.... https://t.co/kFoICTS3cdShepherd to the PS?
Or possibly Ryan Grant being cut.
Whoever they have at returner would probably be better. I had hopes for Sheppard as a slot receiver but right now he is underperforming. After all he is an undrafted rookie.
michiganjoe posted:The Packers are considering a change at kick/punt returner for Sunday at Kansas City, per to sources.
— Rob Demovsky (@RobDemovsky) October 26, 2019
One possibility is to re-sign Tremon Smith, who was claimed off waivers from the Chiefs on Sept. 17 and played in 3 games before he was released.... https://t.co/kFoICTS3cdShepherd to the PS?
Why not try Josh Jackson? He's been on the active roster, might as well get some kind of use out of him.
Called for Tremon Smith days ago. He might have motivation against his old team and we need to do something to stop the short kickoffs
I just want to make sure we're talking about the same Blake Martinez that leads the league in tackles, has a sack and forced fumble.
How do we match up on Kelce? Tyreek Hill?
I think our best bet is to blitz everything at Moore. Send everyone one play, then drop everyone back the next. Have the front 7 wear ghost ski masks too! Ha
Pakrz posted:I just want to make sure we're talking about the same Blake Martinez that leads the league in tackles, has a sack and forced fumble.
You're both right...but you have to admit (sometimes) he does a mean AJ Hawk impression
right down to the standing a guy up...subtle pirouette and 4 yard drag...it's an art really
Even with Mahomes out I read on ESPN that the Chiefs are slightly favored. Some talking heads felt that their defense would get after Rodgers. 
That always works out well for blitzing defenses.
PackerHawk posted:michiganjoe posted:The Packers are considering a change at kick/punt returner for Sunday at Kansas City, per to sources.
— Rob Demovsky (@RobDemovsky) October 26, 2019
One possibility is to re-sign Tremon Smith, who was claimed off waivers from the Chiefs on Sept. 17 and played in 3 games before he was released.... https://t.co/kFoICTS3cdShepherd to the PS?
Why not try Josh Jackson? He's been on the active roster, might as well get some kind of use out of him.
It would not be a bad idea if he had some speed to him. He has not been used much because he is not too good in man coverage but who knows he might have some moves to him as a returner.
PackerPatrick posted:Even with Mahomes out I read on ESPN that the Chiefs are slightly favored. Some talking heads felt that their defense would get after Rodgers.
I have NFI where ESPN gets their info, but it isn't from Vegas if they think the Chiefs are favored - They're clearly NOT favored
https://www.sportsline.com/nfl/odds/
https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
As long as the Packer O-Line continues playing well, I don't see how the Chiefs will "get after Rodgers" - Blitzing Rodgers has been a historically BAD move when he's hot.
Are us Packer fans the only ones seeing Rodgers dump the ball off to the RB's? In some cases down the field (like the TD pass to Aaron Jones) -- Hell even Jumping Jimmy Graham is playing a little better.
BrainDed posted:Lol.. long term house advantage. They have no interest in gambling my man. They have an interest in creating can’t lose scenarios.
Its no different than the poker table. They create the opportunity for others to gamble so that they can take a percentage. That’s it, anything else is tin foil hat territory.
You don't get it...I understand. You are repeating oft repeated Joe Six Pack type of stuff...because somebody said it on the internet.
It's NOT gambling...the linesmakers KNOW exactly what the best number is...long term. They play it long term...probability always wins out.
No gambling...they just churn the numbers...long term...big money and the known probability churns out profits.
No gambling involved what so ever...some short term variability...sure...but long term they are playing a known advantage to maximize profit.
It's just math. I mean...why wouldn't they do it?
Nobody has better numbers than the books.
Boris posted:PackerPatrick posted:Even with Mahomes out I read on ESPN that the Chiefs are slightly favored. Some talking heads felt that their defense would get after Rodgers.
I have NFI where ESPN gets their info, but it isn't from Vegas if they think the Chiefs are favored - They're clearly NOT favored
https://www.sportsline.com/nfl/odds/
https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
As long as the Packer O-Line continues playing well, I don't see how the Chiefs will "get after Rodgers" - Blitzing Rodgers has been a historically BAD move when he's hot.
Are us Packer fans the only ones seeing Rodgers dump the ball off to the RB's? In some cases down the field (like the TD pass to Aaron Jones) -- Hell even Jumping Jimmy Graham is playing a little better.
I thought it was goofy. I just read it today and wondered about it. But I don’t think it will be a cakewalk either. Yet it will be a much more winnable game with Mahomes out.
Frankie Baggadonuts posted:How do we match up on Kelce? Tyreek Hill?
I think our best bet is to blitz everything at Moore. Send everyone one play, then drop everyone back the next. Have the front 7 wear ghost ski masks too! Ha
I think GB should have 22 defensive guys on the field for the entire game. No one will notice because half of them will dressed up like Ghosts.
I would tend to agree with you if we were playing the Jets. Since we are not I suggest we just play 11.
PackerPatrick posted:Boris posted:PackerPatrick posted:Even with Mahomes out I read on ESPN that the Chiefs are slightly favored. Some talking heads felt that their defense would get after Rodgers.
I have NFI where ESPN gets their info, but it isn't from Vegas if they think the Chiefs are favored - They're clearly NOT favored
https://www.sportsline.com/nfl/odds/
https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
As long as the Packer O-Line continues playing well, I don't see how the Chiefs will "get after Rodgers" - Blitzing Rodgers has been a historically BAD move when he's hot.
Are us Packer fans the only ones seeing Rodgers dump the ball off to the RB's? In some cases down the field (like the TD pass to Aaron Jones) -- Hell even Jumping Jimmy Graham is playing a little better.
I thought it was goofy. I just read it today and wondered about it. But I don’t think it will be a cakewalk either. Yet it will be a much more winnable game with Mahomes out.
It was OFF (no line) because of the Mahomes ambiguity. It's at Packers-5 now.
I ain't touching that. No Mahomes helps but on the road, Reid, Arrowhead, National t.v., night game.....I don't like any of it. This is going to be tough, especially since all the players are hearing is it won't be. Not good.
GB should cover. They are the healthier team.
"Should" being the operative word. Exactly.
I don't like being favored on the road, in a place like that with a coach like Andy Reid. It's a bad combo.
We always have a way to stop maxi-mum bleeding. Stayfree & always be carefree.
Well it was gonad blood today after I took Badgers+14.5.
Show us your bet slip!
Kotex.....we may not be number one but we're right up in there.
s.
Anybody want to reminisce about the last time the packers visited Arrowhead? I seem to recall 13-0 and the same “this will be easy” attitude I’m seeing this week. And when’s the last time Rodgers beat Andy Reid? People are getting way to cocky about a team with the 26th ranked defense and no real significant victories. I don’t care if Mahomes is playing or not, this is going to be a dogfight.