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Pikes Peak posted:

i would have entertained going for 2 if I had Cobb, my guess is every play practiced for this situation during the week had him in the equation.

If that is that case, that is a terrible preparation job by an NFL coaching staff getting ready for a playoff game. And I seriously doubt that was the case.

Last edited by FreeSafety

I logged into the chat room. The last 100 posts are there but it doesn't go back far enough to see when we wanted to go for 2 at the time they scored on the hail mary.

This new software doesn't allow logging like the old site except in a "Chat Event" which we didn't have.

Had MM gone for 2 & not made it, I wouldn't have been mad. Disappointed sure but I would've understood the logic. It was their chance to steal the game from a superior team while they were down FOUR WR's.

As others have said the odds of the Packers getting 2 yards was probably 40%. Their best chance to win, statistically. Would it have taken balls of steel? Sure, but even if they don't make it, at least I put the ball in my best players hands & gave our team the opportunity to win & advance. That's all you can ask for as a fan.

Last edited by Boris
CUPackFan posted:

Yes they should have gone for two.  The Cardinals had a better team, top to bottom, and the longer you draw a game out, the better team comes out ahead.  IMO, the odds of completing a 2 pt conversion were probably 50%..........their odds of winning in overtime were easily less than that.  But I don't blame MM - I blame the culture of the NFL, which pushes coaches to be over-conservative to alleviate blame.  

I bolded a great point here.  The NFL coaches are so risk adverse it's not even funny.  It's better to play the field position game and blame your defense/credit the other team than it is to throw the ball with 2 minutes left and win the game. 

I was at the bar with some buddies.  I'm like you've gotta go for 2 here.  

 

Last edited by The GBP Rules
CAPackFan95 posted:
Lambeau Lobo posted:

All you have to do is not allow a TD, and we see the ball again.

Which we hadn't done the previous 2 OT games, but hey, hoping it will happen this 3rd time is a strategy as well.  I guess.  

For me, the play of the defense in the game should influence the decision much more than outcomes in playoff games in prior years.  Our defense played great ball in regulation.  Palmer could have easily finished with 3+ INTs in that game.  

On top of that, there is only a 50% chance that Arizona wins the toss and gets the ball.  

With the injuries on offense, I would not have argued if MM had taken a chance and gone for two, but I completely understand the decision to kick it.  

michiganjoe posted:
FreeSafety posted:

If that is that case, that is a terrible preparation job by an NFL coaching staff getting ready for a playoff game. And I seriously doubt that was the case.

End of season MM presser

Beginning at about 1:15 in he explains his thinking behind not going for two. The available receivers apparently played a major role.

But the same receivers have a better chance of helping the offense go 80 yards for a game winning touchdown, assuming you either win a coin flip or hope your gassed defense gets a stop?

I agree previous OT losses have little/nothing to do with Saturday night.  And while I agreed the D had played a damn good game to that point, they also allowed 10 points on 2 scoring drives in the 4th quarter.  I was 100% certain kicking the XP was the right call until I remembered that 4th quarter performance.  On top of that, our offense did nothing in the 4th quarter short of 2 answered prayers in a matter of a few plays, that you may never see the likes of again.  Harder to image us driving close enough for a FG much less a TD in OT. 

But I don't fault MM for not going for 2.  That is a lot to track and analyze in the pressure cooker of those final seconds.

Last edited by DH13
Jelly posted:

How many of you were screaming to go for two before the overtime like you are now?  My guess is none.

Look... there's a reason it has never been attempted in the playoffs before.

Your right, I wasn't screaming, but I wanted them to go for 2 - before the OT - actually before they kicked the extra point.

Just so I am clear, what is it that that hasn't been attempted in the playoffs before?

1) A 2 point conversion?

OR

2) Going for a win vs a tie? 

Those are potentially 2 different things.  And one has been done in the playoffs - successfully.  I don't know about the other. 

Last edited by Ghost of Lambeau

Chucky for the win with Tampa, though not a playoff game

Also, 2005 marked a return to the playoffs, as the Bucs posted a surprising 11–5 record, despite the loss of starting quarterback Brian Griese and some controversial coaching decisions, including a two-point conversion in the final seconds to defeat theWashington Redskins, who would later return to Tampa and eliminate the Bucs from the wild-card round of the playoffs.

 

last-minute win over the Washington Redskins in a 36–35 thriller to break that slump. In a gutsy move, Gruden went for the win with a two-point conversion plunge by fullback Mike Alstott



Lambeau Lobo posted:

For me, the play of the defense in the game should influence the decision much more than outcomes in playoff games in prior years.  Our defense played great ball in regulation.

Arizona's 2nd half possessions:

 3 play   -1 yard      INT

10 play  74 yards   FG

 7 play    59 yard    INT

14 play  80 yard    TD

That is not great defense. Unless we intercepted the ball, they scored. Every time they had the ball.

The chance of getting a turnover is far, far, far less than the chance of converting a 2 point play, even without Cobb.

The GBP Rules posted:
CUPackFan posted:

Yes they should have gone for two.  The Cardinals had a better team, top to bottom, and the longer you draw a game out, the better team comes out ahead.  IMO, the odds of completing a 2 pt conversion were probably 50%..........their odds of winning in overtime were easily less than that.  But I don't blame MM - I blame the culture of the NFL, which pushes coaches to be over-conservative to alleviate blame.  

I bolded a great point here.  The NFL coaches are so risk adverse it's not even funny.  It's better to play the field position game and blame your defense/credit the other team than it is to throw the ball with 2 minutes left and win the game. 

I was at the bar with some buddies.  I'm like you've gotta go for 2 here.  

 

I'd love to see a coach Trump (so to speak)  come into the NFL and kick some establishment ass.

NFL coaches should go for it on 4th down a lot more than they do as well. 

For God sakes you could play action your way into the playoffs on 4th down throwing the ball with a bad team and a bad QB... if you only had the balls to do it and break trends.

Last edited by oldschool
CAPackFan95 posted:
CUPackFan posted:

Pfft, that nerd probably didn't graduate from high school...

Finally, let’s look at some specifics: With Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, in the regular season and playoffs combined, Green Bay has converted 12 of 23 (52.2 percent) of its 2-point tries. This includes 12 of 21 (57.1 percent) when Rodgers throws and 0 of 2 otherwise.

This math says we should always go for two.  

Last edited by titmfatied
Lambeau Lobo posted:

Our defense played well in regulation.  We had all the momentum after the final drive.  All you have to do is not allow a TD, and we see the ball again.

Under those circumstances, I have no problem with MM choosing to kick it.  Unfortunately, one broken play effectively ended the game.     

The second part of that equation is your offense driving a full field for a TD.  

The he way I saw it as it was unfolding was:

  1. We had ample time to pick the play we wanted because of the review.
  2. Lets put the season in Rodgers hands right now.  We are on the road playing a superior team.  We just need two yards to get the upset victory. We probably won't get a better shot than that.
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