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There's a lot of all 22 with 71 making head scratching decisions or 76 being down on his up and down play. I get tackles are the most valuable but it's real tempting to wonder what upgrade would happen if 50 held down the responsibilities at center and 71 moved to RG and could play without the mental strain at C. If 69 could have stayed on the field we'd have some more options. I can't help but think they want 75 ready to go next year and want to game the compensation pick for 76 to be as high as possible. He seems serviceable but not the guy you make a multi year veteran investment in

@michiganjoe posted:

Great adjustment by Wicks on that play.

I will say that while it's "easier" to put up QB numbers in 2023 vs 2008 it's still not a given. Hell if it was that easy there would be more than a dozen true franchise QB's in the league.

What's he's done this year (past 6 games in particular) has exceeded my expectations and I expected him to be good.

@Iowacheese posted:

These days PakrzRick and I are Love fans first.

Probably not a dozen QBโ€™s would take over him at this point.

Tier 1 in 2024

Mahomes, Josh Allen, Herbert, Lamar Jackson, Burrow, Rodgers, Stafford

Tier 2

Hurts, Tua, Stroud, Trevor Lawrence, Prescott

If you had to make a decision for one year and assumed everyone was healthy and salaries for equal, the guys in Tier 1 are all much better. The guys in Tier 2 are somewhat better.

There are others that are similar, but nobody really jumps out as being a difference maker relative to Love.

If you take salary into account, you are maybe just looking at the first 5 guys that I would trade for him for next year.

Not only Love's and AR's first 16 starts, but the stats between Love and Rodgers are almost mirror images for Rodgers in 2022 and Love this year (from Packers Post):

Comparing the Numbers

2022 Aaron Rodgers

542 ATT      350 CMP    64.6 PCT       3,695 YDS     26 TD    12 INT   Y/A 6.8  91.1 QBR

2023 Jordan Love

514 ATT     321 CMP    62.5 PCT     3,587 YDS      27TD      11 INT   Y/A 7.0  91.8 QBR

Rushing Comparison:

2022 Rodgers:   Rushes 34          Yards 94          TD 1

2023 Love:          Rushes 45          Yards 246          TD 3

Record Through 15 Games:

2022 Rodgers:   7-8-0

2022 Love:          7-8-0

300 Yard Passing Games:

2022 Rodgers:   0

2023 Love:          1

Games with 100 or Higher QB Rating:

2022 Rodgers:   3

2023 Love:          8

4th Quarter Comebacks/Game Winning Drives:

2022 Rodgers:   4

2023 Love:          3

It's kind of freaky how closely Love's and Rodgers' numbers align, yet some people still see Rodgers as far better than Love. Add in that Rodgers had much more experienced receivers compared to Love -- and Love has had an easier schedule -- and it makes them quite equal. What still needs to be determined is if Love can continue to improve his play to stay close to Rodgers' level. (I don't expect Love to equal or surpass Rodgers, but staying close will certainly be good enough.) How good Love has been this year has kind of snuck up on everyone, probably because we've all been watching the implosion of the defense for the past several games.

Some of the difficulty people have comparing AR v JL first year is we have a career's worth of performance to color AR's first year with hindsight.  With JL we have no idea if what we're seeing is the beginning of something great or the inconsistencies of a QB that will always be inconsistent.  With AR it's almost retroactive confirmation bias looking back.

Not saying JL will or won't be great, just that it's almost impossible to compare the two's first year, other than with stats that we know don't tell the whole story.

Unless you've never seen either QB play and only watched their first year's as starter. How would we look at AR's first year if his career ended immediately after it?

Last edited by DH13
@DH13 posted:

Some of the difficulty people have comparing AR v JL first year is we have a career's worth of performance to color AR's first year with hindsight.  With JL we have no idea if what we're seeing is the beginning of something great or the inconsistencies of a QB that will always be inconsistent.  With AR it's almost retroactive confirmation bias looking back.

Not saying JL will or won't be great, just that it's almost impossible to compare the two's first year, other than with stats that we know don't tell the whole story.

Unless you've never seen either QB play and only watched their first year's as starter. How would we look at AR's first year if his career ended immediately after it?

I watched a few games from Rodgers first season.  He had a much stronger arm than Love does, most of his balls were lasers.  He also scrambled a lot more.  And Jennings was WAY better than any WR we have on this team by far.  Even with their record it was obvious tho AR was the real deal.  He didn't look as polished as he would become but he was very quick, decisive and pretty damn accurate.

Also, man Woodson and Nick Collins were amazing players.  We have nothing like them currently at all.

@michiganjoe posted:

I've been most surprised at how well he's taken care of the football, especially given the questions about his decision-making coming out.

This is what I remember best about Rodgers. In 2008, he was a first year starter, so it unfolded what type of qb he was week by week. He showed he could make plays, extend plays, improvise and distribute the ball. It wasn't until years two and three that it became clear how much better he was than Bert at protecting the ball and avoiding the huge mistake. He had a disdain for ints that is unsurpassed in history.

When Favre was winning his mvps, his td/int rate was stellar. 1994-1996 under Holmgren he had 110 tds to 40 ints. Just staggering numbers at that point in time. The only qb that matched that was Steve Young, who was also vg at avoiding costly mistakes. Rodgers came in and blew that away.

Early on, it became clear that Rodgers could be trusted with the ball far more than Brett. That trait alone would make him better overall than Favre. If there's one quality Love could take from Rodgers, I'm hoping it's that one. He's had his share of bad throws this year, but this last stretch, through wins and losses, his td/int ratio resembles that of AR. His biggest test yet is going into the purple dome, so we will see tomorrow night where he's at in his growth. Now I will stfu because I don't wanna jinx it for him.

After tossing 2 picks against Pittsburgh, the Packers were 3-6. To that point in the season, Love had thrown 14 TDs and 10 Interceptions*. Since then, Love has thrown 16 TDs and 1 Interception. The Packers have gone 5-2. Also his QBR has been 108.5 or higher in all but 1 game.

Definite improvement as the season progressed, and against some good defenses, Anything more this weekend is gravy.



*after starting with 6 TDs and no INTs, he went 8 TDs and 10 INTs in the next seven games.

It's cool to see the numbers as it gives you some way to compare AR and JL.  However, beyond that, Love has handled this season with excellent poise.  AR was definitely a leader until he wasn't.  Seeing a young QB playing so well is awesome, but mindset and emotional maturity is such an asset.  The fact that he's doing all of this with such young/no name skill position players makes it that much more impressive. It seems he has the leadership qualities that a franchise QB needs.

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